Pallas Mississauga Poll: Parrish 32, Crombie 27, Tedjo 19, Damerla 12
(TORONTO, September 14, 2026) – Mississauga’s mayoral race is a genuine two-way contest heading into the fall campaign, with incumbent Carolyn Parrish holding a narrow edge over Bonnie Crombie, according to a new poll from Pallas Data. Among decided and leaning voters, Parrish sits at 32%, followed by Crombie at 27%, Alvin Tedjo at 19%, Dipika Damerla at 12%, and another candidate at 10%. A third of all respondents remain undecided, meaning the race is still very much in motion with six weeks to go before the October 26th vote. “Parrish is ahead, but Crombie is still very much competitive here,” said Dr. Joseph Angolano, founder and CEO of Pallas Data. “A five-point lead with a third of voters undecided is a good place to be in, but definitely not insurmountable.” Where the votes are coming from Parrish’s advantage is built on men and older voters. Among decided and leaning voters, she leads Crombie 36% to 31% with men, and holds a wide margin among voters 65 and older, 38% to 28%. Crombie’s strongest group is voters aged 50 to 64, where she leads Parrish 36% to 32%, and among women, again trailing Parrish by only four points, 24% to 28%. Damerla draws her strongest support from women, where she reaches 17%, more than double her showing among men. Tedjo’s support is spread fairly evenly across age groups, peaking with voters 35 to 49 at 23%. “The gender split here matters more than the topline number,” Angolano said. “Crombie needs to consolidate women voters if she wants to close this gap.” Younger voters remain the most fractured segment of the electorate. Among 18-to-34-year-olds who have decided or are leaning, Parrish leads with 27%, Crombie sits at 25%, Tedjo at 19%. Fourteen percent say they’ll vote for another candidate not listed: on par with the 15% who say the same among 35-to-49-year-olds, and well above the roughly 5% seen in every age bracket 50 and up. This is also the age group with the smallest sample in the poll, so the numbers should be read with that caveat. What comes next With five weeks of campaigning still ahead, the size of the undecided pool is the single biggest variable in this race. At 33% of all voters, it’s larger than the combined support of three of the five named candidates. How that group breaks, and whether it breaks at all, will likely decide whether Parrish’s current lead holds or Crombie closes it. Methodology The analysis in this report is based on results of a survey conducted September 9-11, 2026, among a sample of 576 adults 18 years of age or older, living in Mississauga and eligible to vote in municipal elections. The survey was conducted using automated telephone interviews (IVR) on landlines and cellular phones. The sample was weighted by age, gender, and region according to the 2021 Census. The margin of error for the poll is +/- 4.1%, at the 95% confidence level. Margins of error are higher in each subsample. Totals may not add up to 100% due to rounding.
Pallas Quebec Poll: PQ 27, CAQ 23, PLQ 23, PCQ 16, QS 11
(TORONTO, September 13, 2026) – The Quebec election tightened considerably this week, with the Parti Québécois still in front but its cushion over its rivals nearly gone, a new Pallas Data poll has found. Among decided and leaning voters, the PQ under Paul St-Pierre Plamondon holds 27% (-2%), the CAQ under Christine Fréchette sits at 23% (-1%), the PLQ under Charles Milliard has climbed to 23% (+3%), the PCQ under Éric Duhaime is at 16% (+1%), and Québec solidaire under Ruba Ghazal holds steady at 11% (no change). “The PQ went from a comfortable lead to a four-point margin over two different parties in the space of a week,” said Dr. Joseph Angolano, Founder and CEO of Pallas Data. “They don’t have room to give up much more ground and still win the election.” The Liberals find some footing Milliard’s party gained three points province-wide, and the gains are concentrated exactly where a party needs them if it wants seats: the Island of Montreal, where the PLQ holds 37% against the PQ’s 21% and a fourth-place CAQ at 11%, and the Montreal RMR suburbs, where the Liberals now lead outright at 30%, ahead of the PQ’s 24% and the CAQ’s 20%. That rebound comes with a caveat. Just under one in three voters (29%) say the Liberals have run the worst campaign of any party so far, more than double the next-closest party. Voters appear willing to reward the Liberals in the polls without giving Milliard credit for how he’s gotten there. “Milliard’s numbers are moving in one direction and his campaign reviews are moving in the other,” Angolano said. Duhaime still leads the Quebec City region Outside Montreal, little has changed. The PCQ continues to lead outright in the Quebec City region at 31%, with the CAQ a distant second at 24% and the PQ at 20%. The PLQ is down to 14% there. Two straight weeks now with Duhaime’s party on top in the capital region is enough to translate into National Assembly seats if the pattern holds through election day. The PQ, for its part, remains dominant outside the major urban centres, at 34% in the rest of Quebec against the CAQ’s 27% and the PLQ’s 13%. That’s the PQ’s floor, and it’s a wide one, but it’s not growing. A dead heat for best premier When Quebecers were last asked who would make the best premier, Plamondon held a seven-point edge over Fréchette. That gap has closed entirely: both now sit at 23%. Milliard trails at 18%, Duhaime at 15%, and Ghazal at 9%. “Plamondon spent the first two weeks of this campaign as the clear front-runner on that question,” Angolano said. “Now his lead has shrunk and he needs to find some momentum to put some distance between himself and the other parties.” Who’s running the best campaign? 26% of respondents say the CAQ are running the best campaign, ahead of the PQ at 22% and the PCQ at 17%. Québec solidaire sits at 13%, and the Liberals bring up the rear at 7%, an unusual result for a party that just gained three points in vote intention. The worst-campaign numbers tell the inverse story: 29% point to the Liberals, more than twice the share naming any other party. Methodology Pallas Data surveyed 1,085 adults aged 18 or older living in Quebec on September 12, 2026, using Interactive Voice Response (IVR) telephone interviews conducted by landline and cellphone. Results were weighted using 2021 Census demographic data and are intended to be representative of Quebec’s adult population. The margin of error is +/- 3% at the 95% confidence level. Margins of error are larger for subsamples. Totals may not sum to 100% due to rounding.
Pallas Quebec Poll: PQ 29, CAQ 24, PLQ 20, PCQ 15, QS 11
(TORONTO, September 6, 2026) – The Quebec election remains in a deadlock, with every party sitting within a point or two of where it stood in last week’s wave, a new Pallas Data poll has found. Among decided and leaning voters, the PQ under Paul St-Pierre Plamondon holds 29% (no change from last week), the CAQ under Christine Fréchette has 24% (no change), the PLQ under Charles Milliard has 20% (-2%), the PCQ under Éric Duhaime has 15% (-1%), and Québec solidaire under Ruba Ghazal has 11% (+2%). “No party really moved this week,” said Dr. Joseph Angolano, Founder and CEO of Pallas Data. “Everybody has a floor they can count on, and another week of campaigning didn’t create momentum for anyone.” Regional breakdown The regional map looks almost identical to last week. The PCQ still leads outright in Quebec City, at 33%, ahead of the CAQ’s 27% and the PQ’s 26%. The PLQ falls to single digits there, at 8%. In Montreal’s suburbs, the PQ has a slight edge over the CAQ, 32% to 30%, with the PLQ well back at 16%. On the Island of Montreal, the Liberals remain dominant at 40%, with the PQ a distant second at 19% and the CAQ still stuck in fourth at 12%. Fréchette’s government still underwater, but her coalition holds Six in ten Quebecers (61%) say they’re dissatisfied with the performance of the Fréchette government, compared with 21% who are satisfied. That dissatisfaction cuts across every region and both language groups. It isn’t touching her own voters, though. 73% of CAQ supporters say they’re satisfied with her government’s performance, up from 61% in August, while just 14% are dissatisfied. Leader favourability: Fréchette climbs, Plamondon falls Minority government is still the most likely outcome Pallas doesn’t do seat projections, but this week’s numbers are nearly identical to last week’s, so Quebec is still headed toward a minority government. “The prognosis is the same: the most likely outcome is a PQ minority government.” The PCQ has now led outright in the Quebec City region for two straight weeks in our election polling, climbing to 33% this week from 30% last week, while the Liberals have fallen to single digits there. “Eric Duhaime is consolidating his base in Quebec City and looks well placed to pick up seats for the PCQ.” Methodology Pallas Data surveyed 1,100 adults aged 18 or older living in Quebec on September 5, 2026, using Interactive Voice Response (IVR) telephone interviews conducted by landline and cellphone. Results were weighted using 2021 Census demographic data and are intended to be representative of Quebec’s adult population. The margin of error is +/- 3% at the 95% confidence level. Margins of error are larger for subsamples. Totals may not sum to 100% due to rounding.
Pallas Quebec Poll: PQ 29, CAQ 24, PLQ 22, PCQ 16, QS 9
(TORONTO, 30 August 2026) – Quebec’s election campaign has opened with the Parti Québécois still in front, but the real story is behind Paul St-Pierre Plamondon. The Coalition avenir Québec has climbed back into second place, and the Quebec Liberal Party has lost a third of the support it held in May, according to a new Pallas Data poll. Among decided and leaning voters, the PQ under Paul St-Pierre Plamondon holds 29% (no change since Pallas’ last Quebec poll in May), the CAQ under Christine Fréchette has 24% (+5%), the PLQ under Charles Milliard has 22% (-6%), the PCQ under Éric Duhaime has 16% (+2%), and Québec solidaire under Ruba Ghazal has 9% (+1%). “The Quebec election has started, and the CAQ is finding new signs of life as the Trump tariff threats begin to take hold,” said Dr. Joseph Angolano, Founder and CEO of Pallas Data. Regional and language breakdown The CAQ’s recovery is concentrated in the suburbs and the regions. In Montreal’s suburbs, the CAQ pulls 29%, nearly even with the PQ’s 28% and well ahead of the PLQ’s 17%. Outside Montreal and Quebec City, the CAQ sits at 23%, again running close to the PQ. On the Island of Montreal, still the Liberals’ strongest ground, the CAQ remains a distant fourth at 9%. The PCQ’s best result is in Quebec City, where Duhaime leads outright at 30%, ahead of the PQ’s 25% and the CAQ’s 22%. The PLQ falls to single digits there, at 8%. The PCQ also shows the widest gender gap of any party. Among men, Duhaime’s party draws 22% of the vote. Among women, it draws 8%. Age splits the electorate along familiar lines. Voters 65 and older back the CAQ at 34%, ahead of the PQ at 31%. Voters 18 to 34 favour the PQ at 29%, with QS drawing its strongest result in any age group at 17%, compared with just 2% among seniors. “The same dynamic that saved the federal Liberals last year might be developing here in Quebec.” Best party leader for the tariff crisis Asked which party leader would be best placed to guide Quebec through the crisis over American tariffs, 32% named Fréchette, 23% named Plamondon, 13% named Milliard, 13% named Duhaime, and 6% named Ghazal. Twelve percent didn’t know. Fréchette’s number runs well ahead of her party’s vote share, and her crossover appeal is the strongest of any leader tested. Ninety-six percent of CAQ voters pick her, but so do 15% of PLQ voters and 11% of QS voters. Plamondon holds 76% of his own PQ voters on this question but draws less support from outside his coalition. Milliard’s position is weaker: only 61% of his own PLQ voters name him, with the rest split between undecided and the other leaders. “This isn’t quite Elbows Up 2.0. Quebec voters trust Fréchette the most to lead through the tariff crisis, and that trust is spilling over into stronger CAQ support among voters over 50.” Seat outlook Pallas doesn’t do seat projections, but the regional pattern points to a fractured National Assembly if the numbers hold. “If the election were held today, this would be a PQ minority government, and one of the most fractured National Assemblies in Quebec’s history. The Liberals would still pick up some seats, the Conservatives would establish a beachhead in the Quebec City region, and the CAQ would be saved from oblivion.” Methodology Pallas Data surveyed 1,108 adults aged 18 or older living in Quebec on August 29, 2026, using Interactive Voice Response (IVR) telephone interviews conducted by landline and cellphone. Results were weighted using 2021 Census demographic data and are intended to be representative of the adult population of Quebec. The margin of error is +/- 2.9% at the 95% confidence level. Margins of error are larger for subsamples. Totals may not sum to 100% due to rounding.
Pallas Toronto Poll: Chow 50, Bradford 39, Alexander 8
(TORONTO, August 24, 2026) – Olivia Chow leads Brad Bradford 38% to 30% in the race for Toronto mayor, a new Pallas Data poll has found. Among decided and leaning voters, the gap widens to 50% versus 39%. The survey was conducted August 19–21 among 808 Toronto voters. The margin of error is +/- 3.4% at the 95% confidence level. Chow’s lead comes with a catch. 46% of Torontonians say the city is headed in the wrong direction, compared with 37% who say it is going in the right direction. Forty-eight percent are dissatisfied with Chow’s own performance as mayor, versus 37% satisfied. “What this tells us is that being disliked isn’t enough for an incumbent to lose,” said Dr. Joseph Angolano, founder and CEO of Pallas Data. “Bradford needs to build a bridge of credibility with Toronto voters where they feel comfortable enough to hand him the keys to the Mayor’s Office. This hasn’t happened yet.” An Underwater Mayor, Still Out Front Chow’s approval numbers look more like those of an incumbent bracing for a fight than of one coasting to re-election. With that said, City Council approvals fare worse than hers: 53% are dissatisfied, 19% are satisfied. With that said, there are fewer Torontonians saying that the city is going in the wrong direction compared to March, when 49% of Torontonians said the city was on the wrong track. Torontonians aren’t optimistic about the two issues that matter most, either. Sixty-six percent say the city isn’t doing enough on affordability. Sixty-four percent say the same on housing specifically. On the fix, the electorate is split.35% want more supply, 39% want renter protections and expanded social housing, and a quarter aren’t sure. “What the Toronto mayoral election is showing us so far is that you can be underwater on these files and still be ahead, provided that voters don’t trust your opponents,” Angolano said. “That’s where Chow sits right now.” Methodology The analysis in this report is based on results of a survey conducted August 19th-21st, 2026 among a sample of 808 adults, 18 years of age or older, living in Toronto and eligible to vote in municipal elections. The survey was conducted using automated telephone interviews using Interactive Voice Recording technology (IVR). Respondents were interviewed on landlines and cellular phones. The sample was weighted by age, gender, and region according to the 2021 Census. The survey is intended to represent the voting population of Toronto. Totals may not add up to 100% due to rounding. The margin of error for the poll is +/- 3.4%, at the 95% confidence level. Margins of error are higher in each subsample.
Pallas Quebec Poll: PQ 31, PLQ 27, CAQ 19, PCQ 14, QS 9
(TORONTO, August 4, 2026) – The Parti québécois under Paul St-Pierre Plamondon has widened its lead in Quebec provincial voting intentions, according to a new Pallas Data survey conducted for QC125. Among decided and leaning voters, the PQ sits at 31%, with the Liberal Party of Quebec under Charles Milliard at 27%. The Coalition avenir Québec under Christine Fréchette stands at 19%, with the Parti conservateur du Québec under Éric Duhaime at 14% and Québec solidaire under Ruba Ghazal at 9%. “The PQ are in pole position as election season gets underway in Quebec,” said Dr. Joseph Angolano, Founder and CEO of Pallas Data. “It might be too tough for the Liberals or the CAQ to catch up from here, while the PQ will be trying to earn a majority come election time.” Voting Intentions Among all voters, the PQ leads at 26%, followed by the PLQ at 23%, the CAQ at 16%, the PCQ at 12%, and QS at 8%. Fifteen percent remain undecided. Language remains the sharpest divide in the electorate. Among non-francophone voters, the PLQ commands 52% of the decided vote. Among francophones, the PQ leads with 34%, followed by the CAQ at 19% and the PLQ at 19%. The PLQ’s strength is concentrated on the Island of Montreal, where it reaches 42% of decided voters. The PQ is stronger off the island, leading in Montreal’s suburbs at 35% and in the rest of Quebec at 32%. The PCQ’s best region is the Quebec City RMR, where it draws 31% . The gender gap is most pronounced for the PCQ. Duhaime’s party draws 20% among men, against 8% among women. The PQ shows the opposite pattern, running six points stronger with women (34%) than men (28%). Government Performance The Fréchette government’s numbers are weak. Fifty-nine percent of respondents express some dissatisfaction with its performance, against 18% who are satisfied and 21% who are neutral. CAQ voters remain the government’s base of support, with 61% somewhat or very satisfied. The sharper number is on the PQ side: 67% of Plamondon’s voters are actively dissatisfied with the Fréchette government, not merely indifferent. Only 10% of PQ voters are satisfied, and barely 0.2% have no opinion at all. Best Premier On best premier, Plamondon leads at 26%, with Fréchette at 19%, Milliard at 17%, Duhaime at 12%, and Ghazal at 9%. Eighteen percent say none of the above or don’t know. Fréchette running comfortably ahead of Milliard on this measure, despite trailing him in overall favourability, points to a durable asset for the CAQ: voters who have otherwise drifted from the party still see her as more premier material than the Liberal leader. Sovereignty Twenty-nine percent of Quebecers say they would vote in favour of sovereignty in a referendum, against 59% opposed and 12% undecided. Voters aged 35 to 49 are the most open to sovereignty, at 35% in favour, while those 50 to 64 are the most opposed, at 66%. Even among 18-to-34-year-olds, the group sovereigntists usually point to as their future, 56% would still vote No. Seventy-nine percent of PQ voters would vote Yes, but that support drops to 33% among QS voters, 17% among PCQ voters, and 10% among CAQ voters. Liberal voters are almost unanimously opposed, at well under 1% in favour. Support for a Third Referendum Plamondon has said a PQ government would hold a sovereignty referendum in its first mandate. Quebecers are unconvinced: 64% say they’re unfavourable to the idea, against 30% favourable. Support for the idea is not unanimous even within the sovereigntist coalition. Seventy-four percent of PQ voters are favourable, but QS voters split closer to even (41% favourable, 53% unfavourable). Liberal and CAQ voters are almost uniformly opposed, at 91% and 84% unfavourable respectively. Party Leaders Duhaime again posts the worst net favourability of any leader tested, at 19% favourable against 59% unfavourable. His support is almost entirely a function of PCQ loyalty. Plamondon remains the most polarizing of the field’s leading contenders (32% favourable, 49% unfavourable) but his numbers are also the least underwater of the five. He has both stronger name recognition and a larger, more committed base to draw on. Fréchette and Milliard sit in similar territory: 24% and 21% favourable respectively, both with unfavourables in the high 40s and large neutral blocs. Ghazal’s 19% favourable is concentrated almost entirely among QS voters, with most other Quebecers registering neutral rather than actively negative. Methodology Pallas Data conducted this survey on August 1 and 2, 2026, using a random sample of 1,121 adults aged 18 and over living in the province of Quebec. The survey was conducted via interactive voice response (IVR), reaching respondents on both landlines and mobile phones. Responses were weighted using demographic information from the 2021 Census to be representative of Quebec’s adult population. This survey was commissioned by QC125. The margin of error is ±2.9 percentage points at a 95% confidence level. Margins of error are larger for subsamples. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.
Vancouver Pallas Poll: Sim’s Favourability Underwater, Over a Third Still Undecided
(TORONTO, 30 July 2026) – A new Pallas Data poll of Vancouver finds Green candidate Pete Fry leading the race for mayor with 18% support, ahead of incumbent Ken Sim at 14% and Vancouver Liberal Kareem Allam at 12%. Colleen Hardwick of TEAM sits at 11%, COPE’s Stephanie Allen at 6%, OneCity’s William Azaroff at 4%, and Vote Vancouver’s Rebecca Bligh at 3%. A third of voters (34%) remain undecided. The gender split cuts against Fry slightly and strongly favours Sim among men. Fry leads among women (20%) and trails Sim among men, where Sim’s 19% support is nearly double his 9% among women. Allam draws more than twice as much support from women (16%) as men (7%). Women are also somewhat more decided than men, with 36% of men undecided compared to 31% of women. Home ownership status sharpens these patterns further. Sim’s support among homeowners (18%) is more than double what he draws from renters (7%), while Fry runs slightly ahead with renters (19%) over homeowners (17%). Renters are also the least decided group, with 40% undecided compared to 30.8% of homeowners. “Usually we find incumbent mayors doing much better this close to an election, so Ken Sim find himself in real trouble,” said Dr. Joseph Angolano, founder and CEO of Pallas Data. “Fry is slightly ahead of him, and he finds himself in a statistical tie with Allam.” Sim’s approval is underwater Asked directly whether they approve of Sim’s job performance as mayor, 28% of Vancouver voters approve (8% strongly, 20% somewhat) while 48% disapprove (34% strongly, 14% somewhat). Disapproval is worst among voters 50-64 (58%) and lowest among the youngest cohort, where a quarter of respondents sit on the fence rather than commit either way. Women disapprove more than men (50.3% versus 44.4%), and homeowners are the toughest audience of all, with 41.1% strongly disapproving of Sim’s performance – a notable result given homeowners are also his strongest voting bloc. Council race shows a similar pattern Vancouver’s council race tracks the mayoral numbers closely. Asked which party’s candidates they’d support for council, 13% of voters chose the Vancouver Greens, followed by the Vancouver Liberals at 12%, the Coalition of Progressive Electors at 11%, and ABC Vancouver at 10%. TEAM and the Vancouver Conservatives both have 7%, with OneCity at 2% and Vote Vancouver at 1%. Most voters are undecided (39%), a larger undecided share than in the mayoral race. As on the mayoral ballot, renters lean further toward the Greens (20%) than homeowners do (10%), while ABC Vancouver’s council support is concentrated among homeowners (13%) and thin among renters (4%) – mirroring Sim’s own coalition almost exactly. Methodology: The analysis in this report is based on results of a survey conducted July 20-24, 2026 among a sample of 312 adults 18 years of age or older, living in Vancouver and eligible to vote in municipal elections. The survey was conducted using automated telephone interviews with Interactive Voice Response (IVR) technology, with respondents interviewed on landlines and cellular phones. The sample was weighted by age, gender, and region according to the 2021 Census. This poll was commissioned by the Conservative Electors Association. The margin of error for the poll is +/- 5.5%, at the 95% confidence level. Margins of error are higher in each subsample. Totals may not add up to 100% due to rounding.
Pallas Richmond Poll: Heed 20%, Starrett 11%, Loo 9%, and Half the City Still Undecided
(TORONTO, June 29, 2026) – A new Pallas Data poll of Richmond, BC finds independent Kash Heed leading the race for mayor with 20% support, ahead of Conservative-endorsed Sheldon Starrett at 11.3% and Richmond Strong’s Alexa Loo at 8.5%. Rob Howard of Richmond Forward sits at 5.9%, Mei Kang of Action Richmond at 4.3%, and Dickens Cheung of We Are Richmond at 1.6%. Just under half of Richmond voters, 48.4%, say they haven’t picked a candidate. Heed’s number puts him ahead of the field, but the size of the undecided bloc means the race is still forming. His support draws from across party lines: 41% of federal NDP voters in Richmond back him for mayor, along with 24.3% of federal Liberals and 18.3% of federal Conservatives. Starrett’s coalition looks different. He holds 28.8% of federal Conservative voters but only 6% of federal Liberals, a split that tracks his campaign’s explicit Conservative branding. Voters under 35 are the least settled group in the electorate. Among 18-34-year-olds, 59.4% remain undecided, compared to 45.9% of voters 65 and older. Heed performs best with voters 50-64 (26.2%) and 18-34 (22.7%), while Starrett’s strongest cohort is 35-49 (14.6%), where he ties Loo for second place behind Heed. Loo also draws disproportionately from the 35-49 group. She and Starrett may end up competing for some of the same voters as the campaign goes on. The gender split is sharper than the age split. Heed leads among men (23.4%) and women (16.8%) alike, but Starrett runs six points stronger with women (14%) than men (8.3%), while Howard and Kang each run roughly four to eight points stronger with men. Women are also considerably more likely to be undecided, at 58.7% compared to 37.4% of men. Council race shows a similar pattern Richmond’s council race closely tracks the mayoral numbers. When asked which team of council candidates they would support, 16.8% of voters chose the Conservative slate, followed by RITE at 6.5%, RCA at 3.9%. Richmond Forward come in at 3.1%, Advance Richmond at 2.8%, We Are Richmond at 1.7%, and Richmond Strong at 1.6%. A majority (63.1%) are undecided or unwilling to name a preference, a larger share than in the mayoral race. The Conservative council slate’s support is closely tied to federal Conservative identification: 46.3% of federal CPC voters in Richmond back the Conservative team, compared with 16.2% of federal Liberals. That’s a more partisan coalition than Heed’s, and it mirrors Starrett’s mayoral numbers almost exactly. The Conservative civic brand is pulling a consistent bloc of committed voters into both races. RITE performs best among voters 65 and older (15%), a reversal of the youth-leaning coalition some slates court, while the Conservative team’s strongest age group is 35-49 (24.5%). Methodology: The analysis in this report is based on results of a survey conducted June 24-28, 2026 among a sample of 304 adults 18 years of age or older, living in Richmond, BC and eligible to vote in municipal elections. The survey was conducted using automated telephone interviews with Interactive Voice Response (IVR) technology, with respondents interviewed on landlines and cellular phones. The sample was weighted by age, gender, and region according to the 2021 Census. This poll was commissioned by the Conservative Electors Association. The margin of error for the poll is +/- 5.6%, at the 95% confidence level. Margins of error are higher in each subsample. Totals may not add up to 100% due to rounding.
Pallas Quebec Poll: PQ 29, PLQ 25, CAQ 20, PCQ 14, QS 11 — and Quebecers Back the ALTO High-Speed Rail
(TORONTO, June 22, 2026) – The Parti Québécois under Paul St-Pierre Plamondon leads Quebec provincial voting intentions for a second consecutive poll, according to a new Pallas Data survey conducted for QC125. Among decided and leaning voters, the PQ sits at 29%, with the Liberal Party of Quebec under Charles Milliard at 25% and the Coalition Avenir Québec under Christine Fréchette at 20%. The Conservative Party of Quebec under Éric Duhaime stands at 14%, and Québec solidaire under Ruba Ghazal at 11%. “We have three parties over 20% but none over 30%,” said Dr. Joseph Angolano, Founder and CEO of Pallas Data. “If these numbers hold throughout the summer, we are going to be in for a very interesting and competitive campaign in October.” Voting Intentions Among all voters, the PQ leads at 25%, followed by the PLQ at 23%, the CAQ at 18%, the PCQ at 13%, and QS at 11%. Eight percent are undecided. Language splits the race. Among non-francophone voters, the PLQ captures 52% of the decided vote. Among francophones, the PQ leads at 29%, with the CAQ at 23% and the PLQ at 15%. On the Island of Montreal, the PLQ reaches 39% of decided voters, with QS and the PQ tied at 21%. In the Quebec City RMR, the PQ leads at 34%, well ahead of the CAQ at 22%. Montreal’s suburbs are the PCQ’s best ground, at 29%. The CAQ skews old: 32% among voters 65 and over, 12% among those 35 to 49. QS is up three points from May. Its gains are concentrated among younger francophone voters in the urban core. Government Performance Fifty-six percent of respondents are dissatisfied with the Fréchette government’s performance: 37% very dissatisfied, 19% somewhat dissatisfied. Twenty percent are satisfied. Twenty-one percent are neutral. The dissatisfaction cuts across party lines. PLQ, QS, and PCQ voters are all above 60% dissatisfied. PQ voters sit at 62%. Even one in four CAQ voters expresses some discontent with the government they support. Among voters aged 18 to 34, 47% say they are very dissatisfied. Party Leaders Duhaime has the worst numbers in the field. Combined unfavourables reach 61%, favourables at 18%. He is essentially unknown outside his own base in positive terms. Plamondon is the most polarizing. His combined unfavourable is 54%. PLQ voters give him 87% unfavourable, QS voters 74%. His 31% combined favourable sits almost entirely within the PQ coalition. Fréchette’s numbers are split by coalition. CAQ loyalists view her at 80% favourable. Everyone else is harder: 45% of all respondents view her unfavourably, including 65% of PLQ voters and 70% of QS voters. Milliard is still largely unknown to the public despite becoming the leader in February . Thirty-six percent of respondents are neutral or uncertain about him. His 19% overall favourability comes almost entirely from PLQ supporters (54% favourable) and non-francophone voters; among francophones, it’s 17%. Ghazal follows QS’s structural pattern: strong within her coalition (75% favourable among QS voters), 46% unfavourable across the full electorate. The three-point QS bump this wave hasn’t touched her broader image numbers. ALTO High-Speed Rail Sixty-five percent of Quebecers support the federal government’s proposed high-speed rail corridor linking Quebec City, Trois-Rivières, Laval, Montreal, Gatineau, Ottawa, and Toronto: 42% very favourable, 23% somewhat favourable. Twenty-four percent are opposed. PLQ voters are the most enthusiastic at 84% in favour. QS voters sit at 85%. Among CAQ voters, 71% support it. PQ voters are the outlier: 46% in favour, 40% opposed. PCQ voters are the most hostile, at 47% against, including 34% very unfavourable. Support holds across regions, age groups, and both language communities. Among non-francophones, 64% are very favourable. Among francophones, strong support is at 40%. Methodology:Pallas Data conducted this survey on June 10 and 12, 2026, using a random sample of 1,099 adults aged 18 and over living in the province of Quebec. The survey was conducted via interactive voice response (IVR), reaching respondents on both landlines and mobile phones. Responses were weighted using demographic information from the 2021 Census to be representative of Quebec’s adult population. This survey was commissioned by QC125. The margin of error is ±3 percentage points at a 95% confidence level. Margins of error are larger for subsamples. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.
Pallas Federal Poll: Liberal 45, Conservative 32, NDP 11, Bloc 7, Green 2
(TORONTO, May 27, 2026) – Mark Carney’s Liberals hold a thirteen-point lead over Pierre Poilievre’s Conservatives, a new Pallas Data poll has found. The survey was conducted May 23–24 among 1295 Canadians eligible to vote. The margin of error is +/- 2.7% at the 95% confidence level. Beneath the voting numbers, Canada’s Economic Patriotism Index tells a more complicated story about where Canadian attitudes toward the trade war are heading. Among decided and leaning voters, the Liberals have 45%, the Conservatives 32%, the NDP 11%, the Bloc Québécois 7%, and the Greens 3%. “Carney can call an election today and expect to win a larger majority,” said Dr. Joseph Angolano, founder and CEO of Pallas Data. “The Liberals are in an unassailable position nationally, with dominant leads in Ontario, Atlantic Canada, and British Columbia.” The Liberals lead by 21 points in Ontario, 15 points over the Conservatives in Atlantic Canada, 15 points over the Conservatives in BC, and 13 points over the Bloc in Quebec. Canadians Are Getting Used to Trump Pallas Data has tracked the Economic Patriotism Index since May 2025, measuring Canadians’ willingness to make economic sacrifices for Canadian independence. The latest wave shows a significant shift. High economic patriotism is down eight points since December, from 34% to 26%. Low economic patriotism is up four points, from 24% to 29%. For the first time since Pallas launched the EPI, more Canadians score low than high. “Canadians are becoming psychologically callous to all things Trump,” Angolano said. “The trade war was supposed to radicalize Canadians into economic nationalists. Instead, as the immediate shock faded, the willingness to sacrifice softened.” Gas prices, driven up by the conflict in Iran, are certainly a contributing factor. The drop is sharpest among younger Canadians, Liberal voters (high EPI down 12 points since January), and undecided voters (high EPI cut in half, from 31% to 14%). The Say-Do Gap — In Reverse The more striking finding is what hasn’t changed. Despite the shift in attitude, purchasing behaviour has remained steady. In December, 51% of Canadians reported doing all three buy-Canadian purchasing actions. Today, that number sits at 50%. The “say-do” gap usually describes respondents who express an intention but don’t follow through. Here, the pattern runs in reverse: Canadians are acting more patriotically than they are willing to say they believe in it. “Actions are stickier than ideology,” Angolano said. “We are checking the labels, we are choosing the Canadian product. But right now, Canadians see them as small frictions, not commitments.” The attitude is softening because the underlying question remains open. At Davos, Carney was blunt: “The old order is not coming back. Nostalgia is not a strategy.” Poilievre told Joe Rogan the opposite — that the tariffs and the 51st state rhetoric are a distraction from a fundamentally sound relationship worth restoring. They both can’t be right. Canadians are buying Canadian while they wait to find out which one is. “The EPI is showing a public that is patriotically engaged but ideologically unresolved,” Angolano said. “When Canadians finally decide whether Carney or Poilievre is right about the permanence of this rupture, the EPI will show it first.” Methodology The analysis in this report is based on results of a survey conducted on May 23rd-24th, 20026 among a sample of 1295 adults, 18 years of age or older, living in Canada and are eligible to vote in federal elections. The survey was conducted using automated telephone interviews using Interactive Voice Recording technology (IVR). Respondents were interviewed on landlines and cellular phones. The sample was weighted by age, gender, and region according to the 2021 Census. The survey is intended to represent the adult population in Canada. The margin of error for the poll is +/- 2.7%, at the 95% confidence level. Margins of error are higher in each subsample. Totals may not add up to 100% due to rounding.