Pallas Mississauga Poll: Parrish 32, Crombie 27, Tedjo 19, Damerla 12
(TORONTO, September 14, 2026) – Mississauga’s mayoral race is a genuine two-way contest heading into the fall campaign, with incumbent Carolyn Parrish holding a narrow edge over Bonnie Crombie, according to a new poll from Pallas Data. Among decided and leaning voters, Parrish sits at 32%, followed by Crombie at 27%, Alvin Tedjo at 19%, Dipika Damerla at 12%, and another candidate at 10%. A third of all respondents remain undecided, meaning the race is still very much in motion with six weeks to go before the October 26th vote. “Parrish is ahead, but Crombie is still very much competitive here,” said Dr. Joseph Angolano, founder and CEO of Pallas Data. “A five-point lead with a third of voters undecided is a good place to be in, but definitely not insurmountable.” Where the votes are coming from Parrish’s advantage is built on men and older voters. Among decided and leaning voters, she leads Crombie 36% to 31% with men, and holds a wide margin among voters 65 and older, 38% to 28%. Crombie’s strongest group is voters aged 50 to 64, where she leads Parrish 36% to 32%, and among women, again trailing Parrish by only four points, 24% to 28%. Damerla draws her strongest support from women, where she reaches 17%, more than double her showing among men. Tedjo’s support is spread fairly evenly across age groups, peaking with voters 35 to 49 at 23%. “The gender split here matters more than the topline number,” Angolano said. “Crombie needs to consolidate women voters if she wants to close this gap.” Younger voters remain the most fractured segment of the electorate. Among 18-to-34-year-olds who have decided or are leaning, Parrish leads with 27%, Crombie sits at 25%, Tedjo at 19%. Fourteen percent say they’ll vote for another candidate not listed: on par with the 15% who say the same among 35-to-49-year-olds, and well above the roughly 5% seen in every age bracket 50 and up. This is also the age group with the smallest sample in the poll, so the numbers should be read with that caveat. What comes next With five weeks of campaigning still ahead, the size of the undecided pool is the single biggest variable in this race. At 33% of all voters, it’s larger than the combined support of three of the five named candidates. How that group breaks, and whether it breaks at all, will likely decide whether Parrish’s current lead holds or Crombie closes it. Methodology The analysis in this report is based on results of a survey conducted September 9-11, 2026, among a sample of 576 adults 18 years of age or older, living in Mississauga and eligible to vote in municipal elections. The survey was conducted using automated telephone interviews (IVR) on landlines and cellular phones. The sample was weighted by age, gender, and region according to the 2021 Census. The margin of error for the poll is +/- 4.1%, at the 95% confidence level. Margins of error are higher in each subsample. Totals may not add up to 100% due to rounding.
Pallas Quebec Poll: PQ 27, CAQ 23, PLQ 23, PCQ 16, QS 11
(TORONTO, September 13, 2026) – The Quebec election tightened considerably this week, with the Parti Québécois still in front but its cushion over its rivals nearly gone, a new Pallas Data poll has found. Among decided and leaning voters, the PQ under Paul St-Pierre Plamondon holds 27% (-2%), the CAQ under Christine Fréchette sits at 23% (-1%), the PLQ under Charles Milliard has climbed to 23% (+3%), the PCQ under Éric Duhaime is at 16% (+1%), and Québec solidaire under Ruba Ghazal holds steady at 11% (no change). “The PQ went from a comfortable lead to a four-point margin over two different parties in the space of a week,” said Dr. Joseph Angolano, Founder and CEO of Pallas Data. “They don’t have room to give up much more ground and still win the election.” The Liberals find some footing Milliard’s party gained three points province-wide, and the gains are concentrated exactly where a party needs them if it wants seats: the Island of Montreal, where the PLQ holds 37% against the PQ’s 21% and a fourth-place CAQ at 11%, and the Montreal RMR suburbs, where the Liberals now lead outright at 30%, ahead of the PQ’s 24% and the CAQ’s 20%. That rebound comes with a caveat. Just under one in three voters (29%) say the Liberals have run the worst campaign of any party so far, more than double the next-closest party. Voters appear willing to reward the Liberals in the polls without giving Milliard credit for how he’s gotten there. “Milliard’s numbers are moving in one direction and his campaign reviews are moving in the other,” Angolano said. Duhaime still leads the Quebec City region Outside Montreal, little has changed. The PCQ continues to lead outright in the Quebec City region at 31%, with the CAQ a distant second at 24% and the PQ at 20%. The PLQ is down to 14% there. Two straight weeks now with Duhaime’s party on top in the capital region is enough to translate into National Assembly seats if the pattern holds through election day. The PQ, for its part, remains dominant outside the major urban centres, at 34% in the rest of Quebec against the CAQ’s 27% and the PLQ’s 13%. That’s the PQ’s floor, and it’s a wide one, but it’s not growing. A dead heat for best premier When Quebecers were last asked who would make the best premier, Plamondon held a seven-point edge over Fréchette. That gap has closed entirely: both now sit at 23%. Milliard trails at 18%, Duhaime at 15%, and Ghazal at 9%. “Plamondon spent the first two weeks of this campaign as the clear front-runner on that question,” Angolano said. “Now his lead has shrunk and he needs to find some momentum to put some distance between himself and the other parties.” Who’s running the best campaign? 26% of respondents say the CAQ are running the best campaign, ahead of the PQ at 22% and the PCQ at 17%. Québec solidaire sits at 13%, and the Liberals bring up the rear at 7%, an unusual result for a party that just gained three points in vote intention. The worst-campaign numbers tell the inverse story: 29% point to the Liberals, more than twice the share naming any other party. Methodology Pallas Data surveyed 1,085 adults aged 18 or older living in Quebec on September 12, 2026, using Interactive Voice Response (IVR) telephone interviews conducted by landline and cellphone. Results were weighted using 2021 Census demographic data and are intended to be representative of Quebec’s adult population. The margin of error is +/- 3% at the 95% confidence level. Margins of error are larger for subsamples. Totals may not sum to 100% due to rounding.