(TORONTO, 12 June 2024) – A new Pallas Data poll has found that the Parti Quebecois are twelve points ahead of the governing Coalition Avenir Quebec.
Pallas surveyed 1339 adults in Quebec who were 18 years or older and eligible to vote through Interactive Voice Recording (IVR) technology on June 8, 2024. The margin of error is +/- 2.7% at the 95% confidence level.
Among decided and leaning voters, the Parti Quebecois led by Paul St-Pierre Plamondon has 33% (no change since Pallas’ last Quebec poll in April), while the CAQ led by Francois Legault has 21% (+1%). The Liberals, led by interim leader Marc Tanguay, have 17% (-6%). Quebec Solidaire, led by Gabriel Nadeau-Dubois, has 16% (+3%), and the Conservative Party of Quebec, with Eric Duhaime as leader, has 11% (no change).
“The CAQ can find some solace with these numbers in that they are in second place again, but the Parti Quebecois are firmly in control,” said Dr. Joseph Angolano, founder and CEO of Pallas Data. “The pequistes would win a comfortable majority if an election were held today.”
The Parti Quebecois finds themselves in every region in Quebec except on the island of Montreal, where they find themselves in third place behind the Liberals and Quebec Solidaire. They are ten points ahead of the CAQ in the Montreal suburbs and fifteen points ahead of the CAQ in the Quebec City metropolitan area and in the regions, respectively.
Plamondon Has The Best Impression Among Quebecers, Duhaime Has The Worst
The survey also asked Quebecers whether they had a positive or negative impression of the four major party leaders.
Paul St-Pierre Plamondon is the only leader with a net positive impression among Quebecers, with a net score of +8%. All the other leaders have a net negative impression.
23% said they had a very favourable impression of Plamandon, with 17% saying they had a somewhat favourable impression of him. In contrast, 20% said that they had a very unfavourable impression of Plamondon, while 12% said that they had a somewhat unfavourable impression of him.
Nadeau-Dubois had the next best net favourability rating, with -12%, followed by Legault with -36%, and Duhaime with 49%.
Methodology:
The analysis in this report is based on a survey conducted on June 8th, 2024, among a sample of 1339 adults, 18 years of age or older, living in Quebec and eligible to vote in provincial elections. The survey was conducted using automated telephone interviews using Interactive Voice Recording technology (IVR). Respondents were interviewed on landlines and cellular phones. The sample was weighted by age, gender, and region according to the 2021 Census. The survey is intended to represent the adult population in Quebec. The margin of error for the poll is +/- 2.7%, at the 95% confidence level. Margins of error are higher in each subsample. Totals may not add up to 100% due to rounding.
