(TORONTO, June 22, 2026) – The Parti Québécois under Paul St-Pierre Plamondon leads Quebec provincial voting intentions for a second consecutive poll, according to a new Pallas Data survey conducted for QC125.
Among decided and leaning voters, the PQ sits at 29%, with the Liberal Party of Quebec under Charles Milliard at 25% and the Coalition Avenir Québec under Christine Fréchette at 20%. The Conservative Party of Quebec under Éric Duhaime stands at 14%, and Québec solidaire under Ruba Ghazal at 11%.
“We have three parties over 20% but none over 30%,” said Dr. Joseph Angolano, Founder and CEO of Pallas Data. “If these numbers hold throughout the summer, we are going to be in for a very interesting and competitive campaign in October.”
Voting Intentions
Among all voters, the PQ leads at 25%, followed by the PLQ at 23%, the CAQ at 18%, the PCQ at 13%, and QS at 11%. Eight percent are undecided.
Language splits the race. Among non-francophone voters, the PLQ captures 52% of the decided vote. Among francophones, the PQ leads at 29%, with the CAQ at 23% and the PLQ at 15%.
On the Island of Montreal, the PLQ reaches 39% of decided voters, with QS and the PQ tied at 21%. In the Quebec City RMR, the PQ leads at 34%, well ahead of the CAQ at 22%. Montreal’s suburbs are the PCQ’s best ground, at 29%. The CAQ skews old: 32% among voters 65 and over, 12% among those 35 to 49.
QS is up three points from May. Its gains are concentrated among younger francophone voters in the urban core.
Government Performance
Fifty-six percent of respondents are dissatisfied with the Fréchette government’s performance: 37% very dissatisfied, 19% somewhat dissatisfied. Twenty percent are satisfied. Twenty-one percent are neutral.
The dissatisfaction cuts across party lines. PLQ, QS, and PCQ voters are all above 60% dissatisfied. PQ voters sit at 62%. Even one in four CAQ voters expresses some discontent with the government they support. Among voters aged 18 to 34, 47% say they are very dissatisfied.
Party Leaders
Duhaime has the worst numbers in the field. Combined unfavourables reach 61%, favourables at 18%. He is essentially unknown outside his own base in positive terms.
Plamondon is the most polarizing. His combined unfavourable is 54%. PLQ voters give him 87% unfavourable, QS voters 74%. His 31% combined favourable sits almost entirely within the PQ coalition.
Fréchette’s numbers are split by coalition. CAQ loyalists view her at 80% favourable. Everyone else is harder: 45% of all respondents view her unfavourably, including 65% of PLQ voters and 70% of QS voters.
Milliard is still largely unknown to the public despite becoming the leader in February . Thirty-six percent of respondents are neutral or uncertain about him. His 19% overall favourability comes almost entirely from PLQ supporters (54% favourable) and non-francophone voters; among francophones, it’s 17%.
Ghazal follows QS’s structural pattern: strong within her coalition (75% favourable among QS voters), 46% unfavourable across the full electorate. The three-point QS bump this wave hasn’t touched her broader image numbers.
ALTO High-Speed Rail
Sixty-five percent of Quebecers support the federal government’s proposed high-speed rail corridor linking Quebec City, Trois-Rivières, Laval, Montreal, Gatineau, Ottawa, and Toronto: 42% very favourable, 23% somewhat favourable. Twenty-four percent are opposed.
PLQ voters are the most enthusiastic at 84% in favour. QS voters sit at 85%. Among CAQ voters, 71% support it. PQ voters are the outlier: 46% in favour, 40% opposed. PCQ voters are the most hostile, at 47% against, including 34% very unfavourable.
Support holds across regions, age groups, and both language communities. Among non-francophones, 64% are very favourable. Among francophones, strong support is at 40%.
Methodology:
Pallas Data conducted this survey on June 10 and 12, 2026, using a random sample of 1,099 adults aged 18 and over living in the province of Quebec. The survey was conducted via interactive voice response (IVR), reaching respondents on both landlines and mobile phones. Responses were weighted using demographic information from the 2021 Census to be representative of Quebec’s adult population. This survey was commissioned by QC125. The margin of error is ±3 percentage points at a 95% confidence level. Margins of error are larger for subsamples. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.
