(TORONTO, 10 October 2024) – A new Pallas Data poll has found that the Parti Quebecois maintain their twelve-point lead over the governing Coalition Avenir Quebec.
Pallas surveyed 1111 adults in Quebec who were 18 years or older and eligible to vote through Interactive Voice Recording (IVR) technology on September 26, 2024. The margin of error is +/- 2.9% at the 95% confidence level.
Among decided and leaning voters, the Parti Quebecois led by Paul St-Pierre Plamondon has 34% (+1% since Pallas’ last Quebec poll in June), while the CAQ led by Francois Legault has 22% (+1%). The Liberals, led by interim leader Marc Tanguay, have 18% (+1%). The Conservative Party of Quebec led by Eric Duhaime has 14% (+3%), while Quebec Solidaire with Gabriel Nadeau-Dubois at the helm has 12% (-4%).
“The Parti Quebecois remain in cruise control in voter intention,” said Dr. Joseph Angolano, founder and CEO of Pallas Data. “While the Quebec Conservatives have improved and the QS have dropped off, little has changed .”
Even when we look at the regions, little has changed as the PQ leads in every region. Their lead over the CAQ and the Liberals has increased to 21 points in the Montreal suburbs. The PQ leads over the CAQ in the regions and in the Quebec City metropolitan region has narrowed, likely due to the Conservative increase in support in both areas.
Plamondon Still The Most Favoured Party Leader
The survey also asked Quebecers whether they had a positive or negative impression of the four major party leaders, repeating questions in our April survey.
Paul St-Pierre Plamondon remains the only leader with a net positive impression among Quebecers, increasing his net favourability score to +16% (+8% from April).
Eric Duhaime’s rating went up by a point to -48%, while Nadeau-Dubois’s rating fell to -20% (-8%), and Legault’s rating dropped to -45% (-9%).
Methodology:
The analysis in this report is based on a survey conducted on September 26th, 2024, among a sample of 1111 adults, 18 years of age or older, living in Quebec and eligible to vote in provincial elections. The survey was conducted using automated telephone interviews using Interactive Voice Recording technology (IVR). Respondents were interviewed on landlines and cellular phones. The sample was weighted by age, gender, and region according to the 2021 Census. The survey is intended to represent the adult population in Quebec. The margin of error for the poll is +/- 2.7%, at the 95% confidence level. Margins of error are higher in each subsample. Totals may not add up to 100% due to rounding.
