(TORONTO, 30 January 2024) – A new Pallas Data poll has found that the Parti Quebecois have increased their lead over the governing Coalition Avenir de Quebec since November.
Pallas surveyed 1175 adults in Quebec who were 18 years or older and eligible to vote through Interactive Voice Recording (IVR) technology on January 24, 2024. The margin of error is +/- 2.9% at the 95% confidence level.
Among decided and leaning voters, the Parti Quebecois led by Paul St-Pierre Plamondon has 32% (+2% since Pallas’ last Quebec poll in November), while the CAQ led by Francois Legault has 21% (-3%). Quebec Solidaire, led by Gabriel Nadeau-Dubois, has 17% (+1%), and the opposition Quebec Liberals, led by interim leader Marc Tanguay, has 15% (-1%), and the Conservative Party of Quebec with Eric Duhaime, has 12% (+1%).
“The PQ has successfully increased their lead in this poll and would win a majority government if an election were held today,” said Dr. Joseph Angolano, founder and CEO of Pallas Data.
“Even though there is still a lot of time left on their mandate, the CAQ must find a way to stop the bleeding of public support sooner rather than later, or they may hit a point of no return,” continued Dr. Angolano. “The autumn of discontent for the CAQ continues into the winter of 2024.”
The PQ would win a majority because they have substantial leads in every region in Quebec, i.e., the Montreal suburbs, the Quebec City metropolitan area, and the rest of Quebec. Moreover, the PQ also find themselves tied with the Liberals on the Island- seven points behind Quebec Solidaire.
Methodology:
The analysis in this report is based on the results of a survey conducted on January 24, 2024, among a sample of 1175 adults, 18 years of age or older, living in Quebec and eligible to vote in provincial The survey was conducted using automated telephone interviews using Interactive Voice Recording technology (IVR). Respondents were interviewed on landlines and cellular phones. The sample was weighted by age, gender, language, and region according to the 2021 Census. The survey is intended to represent the adult population in Quebec.
The margin of error for the poll is +/- 2.9% at the 95% confidence level. Margins of error are higher in each subsample.
Totals may not add up to 100% due to rounding.
