{"id":1501,"date":"2025-02-09T21:28:47","date_gmt":"2025-02-09T21:28:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/pallas-data.ca\/?p=1501"},"modified":"2025-02-14T20:26:59","modified_gmt":"2025-02-14T20:26:59","slug":"pallas-federal-poll-cpc-still-lead-but-a-carney-led-lpc-would-win","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/pallas-data.ca\/fr\/2025\/02\/09\/pallas-federal-poll-cpc-still-lead-but-a-carney-led-lpc-would-win\/","title":{"rendered":"Sondage f\u00e9d\u00e9ral Pallas : le PCC est toujours en t\u00eate, mais un PLC dirig\u00e9 par Carney l'emporterait"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">(TORONTO, le 9 f\u00e9vrier 2025) \u2013 Alors que les conservateurs f\u00e9d\u00e9raux maintiennent une avance importante mais en diminution sur les lib\u00e9raux au pouvoir, les lib\u00e9raux dirig\u00e9s par l'ancien gouverneur de la Banque du Canada Mark Carney remportent une \u00e9lection si elle avait lieu aujourd'hui.<br><br>Ce sont les r\u00e9sultats d'un nouveau sondage Pallas Data r\u00e9alis\u00e9 jeudi. <br><br>Le 6 f\u00e9vrier, Pallas a interrog\u00e9 1 241 adultes canadiens \u00e2g\u00e9s d&#x27;au moins 18 ans et ayant le droit de vote, \u00e0 l&#x27;aide d&#x27;un syst\u00e8me de r\u00e9ponse vocale interactive (IVR). La marge d&#x27;erreur est de +\/- 2,81 TP3T, avec un niveau de confiance de 951 TP3T.<br><br>Parmi les \u00e9lecteurs d\u00e9cid\u00e9s et ind\u00e9cis, les conservateurs recueillent 40% de soutien (-2% par rapport au dernier sondage de Pallas en janvier), tandis que les lib\u00e9raux en obtiennent 34% (+9%). Le NPD recueille 12% (-6%), tandis que les Verts obtiennent 2% (-2%). Le Bloc qu\u00e9b\u00e9cois recueille 7% (-2%), dont 31% au Qu\u00e9bec.<br><br>\u201c La r\u00e9surgence lib\u00e9rale est certainement due au fait que Donald Trump a menac\u00e9 le Canada de droits de douane, et que le gouvernement Trudeau a r\u00e9agi de la m\u00eame mani\u00e8re \u201d, a d\u00e9clar\u00e9 le Dr Joseph Angolano, fondateur et PDG de Pallas Data. \u201c Les chiffres des sondages des sortants s'am\u00e9liorent en temps de crise, et les \u00e9v\u00e9nements r\u00e9cents ne font pas exception. \u2019<br><br>Malgr\u00e9 la hausse des appuis aux lib\u00e9raux, les conservateurs obtiendraient une majorit\u00e9 avec ces chiffres \u2013 bien que plus petite qu'en janvier.<br><br>Sur le plan r\u00e9gional, les conservateurs et les lib\u00e9raux sont \u00e0 \u00e9galit\u00e9 dans l'Atlantique. Au Qu\u00e9bec, les lib\u00e9raux devancent le Bloc qu\u00e9b\u00e9cois de six points, mais les conservateurs devancent les lib\u00e9raux en Ontario de quatre. Les conservateurs ont une avance substantielle en Alberta et dans les Prairies, tandis qu'ils d\u00e9tiennent une avance plus faible de huit points sur les lib\u00e9raux en Colombie-Britannique. <br><strong><br>Mark Carney m\u00e8nerait les lib\u00e9raux \u00e0 la victoire si l'\u00e9lection avait lieu aujourd'hui<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le sondage a test\u00e9 divers sc\u00e9narios de scrutin avec trois candidats \u00e0 la direction du Parti lib\u00e9ral : Mark Carney, l'ancienne vice-premi\u00e8re ministre Chrystia Freeland et l'ancienne leader parlementaire du gouvernement Karina Gould.<br><br>Les r\u00e9sultats sont les suivants (\u00e9lecteurs d\u00e9cid\u00e9s et inclinant vers un candidat) :;<br>Avec Carney \u00e0 la t\u00eate : LPC 39%, CPC 38%, NPD 9%, Bloc 7%, Verts 2%, PPC 3%.<br>Avec Freeland \u00e0 la t\u00eate : LPC 31%, CPC 41%, NPD 13%, Bloc 8%, Verts 2%, PPC 3%.<br>Avec Gould \u00e0 la t\u00eate : LPC 22%, CPC 42%, NDP 17%, Bloc 10%, Verts 4%, PPC 3%.<br><br>\u201c Ces r\u00e9sultats nous indiquent que Carney est le seul dirigeant \u00e0 apporter un quelconque soutien au Parti lib\u00e9ral, peut-\u00eatre suffisant pour le mener \u00e0 la victoire \u201d, a poursuivi Angolano. <br><br>\u201c Cela ne signifie pas que Carney aurait la garantie d'une victoire s'il \u00e9tait choisi comme chef \u201d, a poursuivi Angolano. \u201c Ce que cela nous montre, c'est que les \u00e9lecteurs sont les plus r\u00e9ceptifs \u00e0 Carney en tant que chef lib\u00e9ral et \u00e0 ses comp\u00e9tences \u00e9conomiques, alors que le Canada pourrait faire face \u00e0 d'importants d\u00e9fis \u00e9conomiques li\u00e9s aux tarifs douaniers am\u00e9ricains \u00e0 l'avenir. \u201d<br><br><em>M\u00e9thodologie :<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">L'analyse de ce rapport est bas\u00e9e sur les r\u00e9sultats d'un sondage men\u00e9 le 6 f\u00e9vrier 2025 aupr\u00e8s d'un \u00e9chantillon de 1241 adultes, \u00e2g\u00e9s de 18 ans ou plus, r\u00e9sidant au Canada et ayant le droit de vote aux \u00e9lections f\u00e9d\u00e9rales. Le sondage a \u00e9t\u00e9 r\u00e9alis\u00e9 \u00e0 l'aide d'entretiens t\u00e9l\u00e9phoniques automatis\u00e9s utilisant la technologie de r\u00e9ponse vocale interactive (RVI). <br><br>Les r\u00e9pondants ont \u00e9t\u00e9 interrog\u00e9s sur des lignes fixes et des t\u00e9l\u00e9phones cellulaires. L'\u00e9chantillon a \u00e9t\u00e9 pond\u00e9r\u00e9 par \u00e2ge, sexe et r\u00e9gion selon le recensement de 2021. Le sondage vise \u00e0 repr\u00e9senter la population adulte au Canada.<br><br>La marge d&#x27;erreur de ce sondage est de +\/- 2,81 TP3T, avec un niveau de confiance de 951 TP3T. Marges d&#x27;erreur<br>sont plus \u00e9lev\u00e9es dans chaque sous-\u00e9chantillon.<br><br>Il se peut que les totaux ne correspondent pas exactement \u00e0 100% en raison des arrondis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"embed-pdf-viewer-wrapper aligncenter wp-block-embed-pdf-viewer-pdf\"><iframe class=\"embed-pdf-viewer lazyload\" data-src=\"https:\/\/pallas-data.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/PallasData-Canada-LPCBallotScenarios-07february2025-compressed.pdf\" height=\"600\" width=\"600\" title=\"\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" data-load-mode=\"0\"><\/iframe><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(TORONTO, le 9 f\u00e9vrier 2025) \u2013 Alors que les conservateurs f\u00e9d\u00e9raux conservent une avance substantielle, mais qui se r\u00e9duit, sur les lib\u00e9raux au pouvoir, les lib\u00e9raux, dirig\u00e9s par l\u2019ancien gouverneur de la Banque du Canada Mark Carney, remporteraient les \u00e9lections si celles-ci avaient lieu aujourd\u2019hui. Telles sont les conclusions d\u2019un nouveau sondage Pallas Data r\u00e9alis\u00e9 jeudi. Le 6 f\u00e9vrier, Pallas a interrog\u00e9 1 241 adultes canadiens \u00e2g\u00e9s de 18 ans ou plus et habilit\u00e9s \u00e0 voter, \u00e0 l&#x27;aide de la technologie d&#x27;enregistrement vocal interactif (IVR). La marge d&#x27;erreur est de +\/- 2,81 TP3T avec un niveau de confiance de 951 TP3T. Parmi les \u00e9lecteurs d\u00e9cid\u00e9s ou ayant une pr\u00e9f\u00e9rence, les conservateurs recueillent 40% de soutien (-2% par rapport au dernier sondage de Pallas en janvier), tandis que les lib\u00e9raux en recueillent 34% (+9%). Le NPD recueille 12% (-6%), tandis que les Verts obtiennent 2% (-2%). Le Bloc qu\u00e9b\u00e9cois recueille 7% (-2%), dont 31% au Qu\u00e9bec. \u2019 La remont\u00e9e des lib\u00e9raux s\u2019explique certainement par le fait que Donald Trump a menac\u00e9 le Canada de droits de douane et que le gouvernement Trudeau a ripost\u00e9 \u201c, a d\u00e9clar\u00e9 le Dr Joseph Angolano, fondateur et PDG de Pallas Data. \u201d Les r\u00e9sultats des sortants dans les sondages s\u2019am\u00e9liorent en p\u00e9riode de crise, et les \u00e9v\u00e9nements r\u00e9cents ne font pas exception. \u201c Malgr\u00e9 la remont\u00e9e du soutien aux lib\u00e9raux, les conservateurs obtiendraient une majorit\u00e9 avec ces chiffres \u2013 bien que plus faible qu\u2019en janvier. Au niveau r\u00e9gional, les conservateurs et les lib\u00e9raux sont \u00e0 \u00e9galit\u00e9 dans les provinces de l\u2019Atlantique. Au Qu\u00e9bec, les lib\u00e9raux devancent le Bloc qu\u00e9b\u00e9cois de six points, mais les conservateurs devancent les lib\u00e9raux de quatre points en Ontario. Les conservateurs disposent d\u2019avances substantielles en Alberta et dans les Prairies, tandis qu\u2019ils ne devancent les lib\u00e9raux que de huit points en Colombie-Britannique. Mark Carney m\u00e8nerait les lib\u00e9raux \u00e0 la victoire si les \u00e9lections avaient lieu aujourd\u2019hui Le sondage a test\u00e9 diff\u00e9rents sc\u00e9narios \u00e9lectoraux avec trois candidats \u00e0 la direction du Parti lib\u00e9ral : Mark Carney, l\u2019ancienne vice-premi\u00e8re ministre Chrystia Freeland et l\u2019ancienne leader du gouvernement \u00e0 la Chambre Karina Gould. Les r\u00e9sultats sont les suivants (\u00e9lecteurs d\u00e9cid\u00e9s et ind\u00e9cis) : Avec Carney \u00e0 la t\u00eate du parti : LPC 39%, CPC 38%, NPD 9%, Bloc 7%, Verts 2%, PPC 3%.Avec Freeland \u00e0 la t\u00eate du parti : LPC 31%, CPC 41%, NPD 13%, Bloc 8%, Verts 2%, PPC 3%.Avec Gould \u00e0 la t\u00eate du parti : PLC 22%, PCC 42%, NPD 17%, Bloc 10%, Verts 4%, PPC 3%. \u2019 Ces r\u00e9sultats nous indiquent que Carney est le seul chef capable d\u2019apporter un soutien quelconque au Parti lib\u00e9ral, peut-\u00eatre suffisant pour le mener \u00e0 la victoire \u201d, a poursuivi M. Angolano. \u201c Cela ne signifie pas pour autant que Carney aurait la victoire assur\u00e9e s\u2019il \u00e9tait choisi comme chef \u201d, a ajout\u00e9 M. Angolano. \u201c Ce que cela nous montre, c\u2019est que les \u00e9lecteurs sont particuli\u00e8rement r\u00e9ceptifs \u00e0 l\u2019id\u00e9e de voir Carney \u00e0 la t\u00eate du Parti lib\u00e9ral et \u00e0 ses comp\u00e9tences en mati\u00e8re \u00e9conomique, alors que le Canada pourrait \u00eatre confront\u00e9 \u00e0 l\u2019avenir \u00e0 d\u2019importants d\u00e9fis \u00e9conomiques li\u00e9s aux droits de douane am\u00e9ricains. \u201d M\u00e9thodologie : L\u2019analyse pr\u00e9sent\u00e9e dans ce rapport s\u2019appuie sur les r\u00e9sultats d\u2019un sondage r\u00e9alis\u00e9 le 6 f\u00e9vrier 2025 aupr\u00e8s d\u2019un \u00e9chantillon de 1 241 adultes \u00e2g\u00e9s de 18 ans ou plus, r\u00e9sidant au Canada et habilit\u00e9s \u00e0 voter aux \u00e9lections f\u00e9d\u00e9rales. Le sondage a \u00e9t\u00e9 r\u00e9alis\u00e9 \u00e0 l\u2019aide d\u2019entretiens t\u00e9l\u00e9phoniques automatis\u00e9s utilisant la technologie d\u2019enregistrement vocal interactif (IVR). Les personnes interrog\u00e9es ont \u00e9t\u00e9 contact\u00e9es sur des lignes fixes et des t\u00e9l\u00e9phones portables. L\u2019\u00e9chantillon a \u00e9t\u00e9 pond\u00e9r\u00e9 en fonction de l\u2019\u00e2ge, du sexe et de la r\u00e9gion, conform\u00e9ment au recensement de 2021. Le sondage vise \u00e0 \u00eatre repr\u00e9sentatif de la population adulte du Canada. La marge d\u2019erreur du sondage est de \u00b1 2,81 TP3T, avec un niveau de confiance de 951 TP3T. Les marges d\u2019erreur sont plus \u00e9lev\u00e9es dans chaque sous-\u00e9chantillon. Les totaux peuvent ne pas totaliser 1001 TP3T en raison des arrondis.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":534,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"nf_dc_page":"","om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_kadence_starter_templates_imported_post":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[6,32],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1501","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-polls","category-sondages"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Pallas Federal Poll: CPC Still Lead, But A Carney-led LPC Would Win - Pallas Data<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/pallas-data.ca\/fr\/2025\/02\/09\/pallas-federal-poll-cpc-still-lead-but-a-carney-led-lpc-would-win\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_CA\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Pallas Federal Poll: CPC Still Lead, But A Carney-led LPC Would Win - Pallas Data\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"(TORONTO, 9 February 2025) \u2013 While the federal Conservatives maintain a substantial but narrowing lead over the governing Liberals, the Liberals led by former Bank of Canada governor Mark Carney would win an election if held today. Those are the findings of a new Pallas Data conducted on Thursday. On February 6th, Pallas surveyed 1241 Canadian adults 18 or older eligible to vote through Interactive Voice Recording technology (IVR). The margin of error is +\/- 2.8% at the 95% confidence level. Among decided and leaning voters, the Conservatives have 40% support (-2% from Pallas&#8217; last poll in January) , while the Liberals have 34% (+9%). The NDP has 12% (-6%), while the Greens have 2% (-2%). The Bloc Quebecois has 7% _-2%), with 31% in Quebec. &#8220;The Liberal resurgence is certainly because Donald Trump threatened Canada with tariffs, and the Trudeau government responded in kind,&#8221; said Dr. Joseph Angolano, Founder and CEO of Pallas Data. &#8220;Incumbents&#8217; polling numbers improve in a crisis, and recent events are no different.&#8221; Despite the uptick in Liberal support, the Conservatives would win a majority with these numbers &#8211; albeit smaller than in January. Regionally, the Conservatives and the Liberals are tied in the Atlantic. In Quebec, the Liberals lead the Bloc Quebecois by six points, but the Conservatives lead the Liberals in Ontario by four. The Conservatives have substantial leads in Alberta and the Prairies, while they have a narrower eight-point lead over the Liberals in British Columbia. Mark Carney Would Lead the Liberals To Victory If the Election Were Held Today The survey asked tested various ballot scenarios with three Liberal leadership candidates; Mark Carney, former Deputy Prime Minister Chrystia Freeland, and former Government House Leader Karina Gould. The results are the following (decided and leaning voters);With Carney as leader: LPC 39%, CPC 38%, NDP 9%, Bloc 7%, Green 2%, PPC 3%.With Freeland as leader: LPC 31%, CPC 41%, NDP 13%, Bloc 8%, Green 2%, PPC 3%.With Gould as leader: LPC 22%, CPC 42%, NDP 17%, Bloc 10%, Green 4%, PPC 3%. &#8220;These findings tell us that Carney is the only leader to add any sort of support to the Liberal Party, perhaps enough to power them to victory,&#8221; continued Angolano. &#8220;This doesn&#8217;t mean Carney would be guaranteed a win should they pick Carney as a leader,&#8221; continued Angolano. &#8220;What it does show us is that the voters are the most receptive to Carney as Liberal leader and his economic credentials, as Canada may face significant economic challenges from U.S. tariffs in the future.&#8221; Methodology: The analysis in this report is based on results of a survey conducted on February 6th, 2025 among a sample of 1241 adults, 18 years of age or older, living in Canada and are eligible to vote in federal elections. The survey was conducted using automated telephone interviews using Interactive Voice Recording technology (IVR). Respondents were interviewed on landlines and cellular phones. The sample was weighted by age, gender, and region according to the 2021 Census. The survey is intended to represent the adult population in Canada. The margin of error for the poll is +\/- 2.8%, at the 95% confidence level. Margins of errorare higher in each subsample. Totals may not add up to 100% due to rounding.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/pallas-data.ca\/fr\/2025\/02\/09\/pallas-federal-poll-cpc-still-lead-but-a-carney-led-lpc-would-win\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Pallas Data\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2025-02-09T21:28:47+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-02-14T20:26:59+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/pallas-data.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/Pallas-Canada-Poll3.png\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1586\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1075\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Pallas Data\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"\u00c9crit par\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Pallas Data\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Estimation du temps de lecture\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/pallas-data.ca\\\/2025\\\/02\\\/09\\\/pallas-federal-poll-cpc-still-lead-but-a-carney-led-lpc-would-win\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/pallas-data.ca\\\/2025\\\/02\\\/09\\\/pallas-federal-poll-cpc-still-lead-but-a-carney-led-lpc-would-win\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Pallas Data\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/pallas-data.ca\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/2ba337b9f439fbf5971c35efec1932c1\"},\"headline\":\"Pallas Federal Poll: CPC Still Lead, But A Carney-led LPC Would Win\",\"datePublished\":\"2025-02-09T21:28:47+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-02-14T20:26:59+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/pallas-data.ca\\\/2025\\\/02\\\/09\\\/pallas-federal-poll-cpc-still-lead-but-a-carney-led-lpc-would-win\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":518,\"commentCount\":2,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/pallas-data.ca\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/pallas-data.ca\\\/2025\\\/02\\\/09\\\/pallas-federal-poll-cpc-still-lead-but-a-carney-led-lpc-would-win\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/i0.wp.com\\\/pallas-data.ca\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2023\\\/07\\\/Pallas-Canada-Poll3.png?fit=1586%2C1075&ssl=1\",\"articleSection\":[\"Polls\",\"Sondages\"],\"inLanguage\":\"fr-CA\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/pallas-data.ca\\\/2025\\\/02\\\/09\\\/pallas-federal-poll-cpc-still-lead-but-a-carney-led-lpc-would-win\\\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/pallas-data.ca\\\/2025\\\/02\\\/09\\\/pallas-federal-poll-cpc-still-lead-but-a-carney-led-lpc-would-win\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/pallas-data.ca\\\/2025\\\/02\\\/09\\\/pallas-federal-poll-cpc-still-lead-but-a-carney-led-lpc-would-win\\\/\",\"name\":\"Pallas Federal Poll: CPC Still Lead, But A Carney-led LPC Would Win - 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Pallas Data","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/pallas-data.ca\/fr\/2025\/02\/09\/pallas-federal-poll-cpc-still-lead-but-a-carney-led-lpc-would-win\/","og_locale":"fr_CA","og_type":"article","og_title":"Pallas Federal Poll: CPC Still Lead, But A Carney-led LPC Would Win - Pallas Data","og_description":"(TORONTO, 9 February 2025) \u2013 While the federal Conservatives maintain a substantial but narrowing lead over the governing Liberals, the Liberals led by former Bank of Canada governor Mark Carney would win an election if held today. Those are the findings of a new Pallas Data conducted on Thursday. On February 6th, Pallas surveyed 1241 Canadian adults 18 or older eligible to vote through Interactive Voice Recording technology (IVR). The margin of error is +\/- 2.8% at the 95% confidence level. Among decided and leaning voters, the Conservatives have 40% support (-2% from Pallas&#8217; last poll in January) , while the Liberals have 34% (+9%). The NDP has 12% (-6%), while the Greens have 2% (-2%). The Bloc Quebecois has 7% _-2%), with 31% in Quebec. &#8220;The Liberal resurgence is certainly because Donald Trump threatened Canada with tariffs, and the Trudeau government responded in kind,&#8221; said Dr. Joseph Angolano, Founder and CEO of Pallas Data. &#8220;Incumbents&#8217; polling numbers improve in a crisis, and recent events are no different.&#8221; Despite the uptick in Liberal support, the Conservatives would win a majority with these numbers &#8211; albeit smaller than in January. Regionally, the Conservatives and the Liberals are tied in the Atlantic. In Quebec, the Liberals lead the Bloc Quebecois by six points, but the Conservatives lead the Liberals in Ontario by four. The Conservatives have substantial leads in Alberta and the Prairies, while they have a narrower eight-point lead over the Liberals in British Columbia. Mark Carney Would Lead the Liberals To Victory If the Election Were Held Today The survey asked tested various ballot scenarios with three Liberal leadership candidates; Mark Carney, former Deputy Prime Minister Chrystia Freeland, and former Government House Leader Karina Gould. The results are the following (decided and leaning voters);With Carney as leader: LPC 39%, CPC 38%, NDP 9%, Bloc 7%, Green 2%, PPC 3%.With Freeland as leader: LPC 31%, CPC 41%, NDP 13%, Bloc 8%, Green 2%, PPC 3%.With Gould as leader: LPC 22%, CPC 42%, NDP 17%, Bloc 10%, Green 4%, PPC 3%. &#8220;These findings tell us that Carney is the only leader to add any sort of support to the Liberal Party, perhaps enough to power them to victory,&#8221; continued Angolano. &#8220;This doesn&#8217;t mean Carney would be guaranteed a win should they pick Carney as a leader,&#8221; continued Angolano. &#8220;What it does show us is that the voters are the most receptive to Carney as Liberal leader and his economic credentials, as Canada may face significant economic challenges from U.S. tariffs in the future.&#8221; Methodology: The analysis in this report is based on results of a survey conducted on February 6th, 2025 among a sample of 1241 adults, 18 years of age or older, living in Canada and are eligible to vote in federal elections. The survey was conducted using automated telephone interviews using Interactive Voice Recording technology (IVR). Respondents were interviewed on landlines and cellular phones. The sample was weighted by age, gender, and region according to the 2021 Census. The survey is intended to represent the adult population in Canada. The margin of error for the poll is +\/- 2.8%, at the 95% confidence level. Margins of errorare higher in each subsample. 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