{"id":1387,"date":"2024-10-23T18:51:07","date_gmt":"2024-10-23T18:51:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/pallas-data.ca\/?p=1387"},"modified":"2024-10-23T18:53:16","modified_gmt":"2024-10-23T18:53:16","slug":"pallas-ontario-poll-pc-41-olp-28-ndp-22-green-7","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/pallas-data.ca\/fr\/2024\/10\/23\/pallas-ontario-poll-pc-41-olp-28-ndp-22-green-7\/","title":{"rendered":"Sondage Pallas en Ontario : PC 41, PLO 28, NPD 22, Vert 7"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">(TORONTO, 23 octobre 2024) \u2013 Les progressistes-conservateurs au pouvoir disposent d'une avance de douze points sur les lib\u00e9raux de l'Ontario, selon un sondage de Pallas Data.<br><br>Dans le cadre d&#x27;un sondage publi\u00e9 pour la premi\u00e8re fois dans le Trillium, Pallas a interrog\u00e9, le 15 octobre 2024, 996 adultes de l&#x27;Ontario \u00e2g\u00e9s de 18 ans ou plus et ayant le droit de vote, \u00e0 l&#x27;aide de la technologie d&#x27;enregistrement vocal interactif (IVR). La marge d&#x27;erreur est de +\/- 3,11 TP3T avec un niveau de confiance de 951 TP3T.<br><br>Parmi les \u00e9lecteurs d\u00e9cid\u00e9s et ind\u00e9cis, le Parti conservateur dirig\u00e9 par Doug Ford recueille 41% (+2% depuis le dernier sondage de Pallas en Ontario, r\u00e9alis\u00e9 en juin). Les lib\u00e9raux de l&#x27;Ontario, dirig\u00e9s par Bonnie Crombie, recueillent 28% (+1%), tandis que le NPD, dirig\u00e9 par Marit Stiles, recueille 22% (-1%). Les Verts de l&#x27;Ontario, avec Mike Schreiner \u00e0 leur t\u00eate, recueillent 7% (-1%).<br><br>\u201c Le gouvernement Ford est toujours en vitesse de croisi\u00e8re \u201d, a d\u00e9clar\u00e9 le Dr Joseph Angolano, fondateur et PDG de Pallas Data. \u201d Si des \u00e9lections avaient lieu aujourd'hui, un gouvernement majoritaire du parti progressiste-conservateur avec les lib\u00e9raux dans l'opposition serait le sc\u00e9nario le plus probable. \u201d<br><br>Le Parti conservateur (PC) dispose d&#x27;une avance significative dans toutes les r\u00e9gions de la province, notamment dans la r\u00e9gion du Grand Toronto, qui compte de nombreux si\u00e8ges. La situation est un peu plus serr\u00e9e \u00e0 Toronto, o\u00f9 les Lib\u00e9raux accusent un retard de trois points sur le PC, le NPD occupant la troisi\u00e8me place avec 24%.<br><br><strong>Le projet d'autoroute souterraine 401 : une potentielle peau de banane pour Ford ?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le sondage demandait aux r\u00e9pondants s'ils appuieraient la construction d'une autoroute souterraine sous la 401. Le premier ministre Ford a d\u00e9clar\u00e9 qu'une \u00e9tude de faisabilit\u00e9 examinerait la possibilit\u00e9 de construire un tunnel sous l'autoroute la plus fr\u00e9quent\u00e9e du Canada pour ajouter des voies suppl\u00e9mentaires et att\u00e9nuer la congestion.<br><br>Au total, 63% se sont d\u00e9clar\u00e9s oppos\u00e9s \u00e0 la construction du tunnel (52% se sont dits fermement oppos\u00e9s), tandis que 18% se sont d\u00e9clar\u00e9s favorables. L&#x27;opposition provient principalement des partisans des partis d&#x27;opposition. On observe toutefois une opposition significative parmi les \u00e9lecteurs du PC (au total, 40% d&#x27;entre eux se sont d\u00e9clar\u00e9s oppos\u00e9s, tandis que 34% ont d\u00e9clar\u00e9 soutenir le projet).<br><br>Au total, 28% ont d\u00e9clar\u00e9 qu&#x27;ils seraient plus enclins \u00e0 soutenir la construction d&#x27;un tunnel sous l&#x27;autoroute 401 si celui-ci comprenait une ligne de transport en commun, dont 36% de r\u00e9pondants \u00e0 Toronto et 32% de r\u00e9pondants r\u00e9sidant dans la r\u00e9gion du Grand Toronto.<br><br>Plus inqui\u00e9tant encore pour le Parti conservateur, 39% des personnes interrog\u00e9es ont d\u00e9clar\u00e9 qu&#x27;elles voteraient sans aucun doute contre un parti promettant de construire le tunnel 401, dont 16% d&#x27;\u00e9lecteurs conservateurs.<br><br>\u201c Cela devrait donner \u00e0 r\u00e9fl\u00e9chir au gouvernement Ford et l'amener \u00e0 repenser sa fa\u00e7on de communiquer sur le tunnel aupr\u00e8s des Ontariens, a d\u00e9clar\u00e9 Angolano. Il est fort peu probable que tous les \u00e9lecteurs progressistes-conservateurs qui ont affirm\u00e9 qu'ils ne voteraient pas pour un parti qui construirait un tunnel sortiraient pour voter pour un autre parti lors de la prochaine \u00e9lection. \u201d<br><br>\u201cMais le projet propos\u00e9 suscite des inqui\u00e9tudes. Les navetteurs et les automobilistes de Toronto constatent toute la congestion caus\u00e9e par la construction et craignent probablement de voir quelque chose de similaire se produire sur la 401.\u201d<br><br><strong>L\u00e9g\u00e8re inqui\u00e9tude concernant une \u00e9lection anticip\u00e9e <\/strong><br>Le sondage a \u00e9galement interrog\u00e9 les r\u00e9pondants sur leur avis concernant la possibilit\u00e9 d'\u00e9lections anticip\u00e9es, car des sp\u00e9culations laissent entendre qu'elles pourraient avoir lieu au printemps 2025.<br><br>29% a d\u00e9clar\u00e9 ne pas vouloir d&#x27;\u00e9lections anticip\u00e9es, tandis que 20% s&#x27;est d\u00e9clar\u00e9 favorable \u00e0 celles-ci. 31% ont d\u00e9clar\u00e9 qu\u2019ils seraient favorables \u00e0 des \u00e9lections anticip\u00e9es s\u2019il y avait une bonne raison de les organiser, tandis que 19% ont d\u00e9clar\u00e9 que la date \u00e0 laquelle les \u00e9lections seraient organis\u00e9es leur \u00e9tait indiff\u00e9rente.<br><br>\u201c Habituellement, lorsque nous posons des questions sur une \u00e9lection anticip\u00e9e, les r\u00e9pondants ont tendance \u00e0 y \u00eatre fortement oppos\u00e9s \u201d, a d\u00e9clar\u00e9 Angolano. \u201c Le fait qu'il n'y ait pas beaucoup d'opposition \u00e0 une \u00e9lection anticip\u00e9e signifie que le premier ministre Ford peut en d\u00e9clencher une sans craindre de r\u00e9percussion de la part du public. \u201d<br><br><em>M\u00e9thodologie :<\/em><br>L'analyse de ce rapport est bas\u00e9e sur les r\u00e9sultats d'un sondage men\u00e9 le 15 octobre 2024 aupr\u00e8s d'un \u00e9chantillon de 996 adultes, \u00e2g\u00e9s de 18 ans ou plus, r\u00e9sidant en Ontario et \u00e9ligibles pour voter aux \u00e9lections provinciales. Le sondage a \u00e9t\u00e9 r\u00e9alis\u00e9 \u00e0 l'aide d'entrevues t\u00e9l\u00e9phoniques automatis\u00e9es utilisant la technologie de r\u00e9ponse vocale interactive (RVI). Les r\u00e9pondants ont \u00e9t\u00e9 interrog\u00e9s sur des lignes fixes et des t\u00e9l\u00e9phones cellulaires. L'\u00e9chantillon a \u00e9t\u00e9 pond\u00e9r\u00e9 selon l'\u00e2ge, le genre et la r\u00e9gion conform\u00e9ment au recensement de 2021. Le sondage vise \u00e0 repr\u00e9senter la population adulte de l'Ontario.<br><br>La marge d&#x27;erreur de ce sondage est de +\/- 3,11 TP3T, avec un niveau de confiance de 951 TP3T. Les marges d&#x27;erreur sont plus \u00e9lev\u00e9es dans chaque sous-\u00e9chantillon.<br><br>Il se peut que les totaux ne correspondent pas exactement \u00e0 100% en raison des arrondis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"embed-pdf-viewer-wrapper aligncenter wp-block-embed-pdf-viewer-pdf\"><iframe class=\"embed-pdf-viewer lazyload\" data-src=\"https:\/\/pallas-data.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/PallasData-Ontario-Trillium-18October2024-compressed_1.pdf\" height=\"600\" width=\"600\" title=\"\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" data-load-mode=\"0\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"> <\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(TORONTO, le 23 octobre 2024) \u2013 Selon un sondage r\u00e9alis\u00e9 par Pallas Data, les conservateurs progressistes au pouvoir disposent d\u2019une avance de douze points sur les lib\u00e9raux de l\u2019Ontario. Dans le cadre d\u2019un sondage publi\u00e9 pour la premi\u00e8re fois dans le Trillium, Pallas a interrog\u00e9 996 adultes ontariens \u00e2g\u00e9s de 18 ans ou plus et ayant le droit de vote, \u00e0 l\u2019aide de la technologie d\u2019enregistrement vocal interactif (IVR), le 15 octobre 2024. La marge d\u2019erreur est de +\/- 3,11 TP3T avec un niveau de confiance de 951 TP3T. Parmi les \u00e9lecteurs d\u00e9cid\u00e9s ou ayant une pr\u00e9f\u00e9rence, le Parti conservateur progressiste, dirig\u00e9 par Doug Ford, recueille 411 TP3T (+21 TP3T depuis le dernier sondage de Pallas en Ontario en juin). Les lib\u00e9raux de l\u2019Ontario, dirig\u00e9s par Bonnie Crombie, recueillent 28% (+1%), tandis que le NPD, dirig\u00e9 par Marit Stiles, recueille 22% (-1%). Les Verts de l\u2019Ontario, avec Mike Schreiner \u00e0 leur t\u00eate, totalisent 7% (-1%). \u2019 Le gouvernement Ford continue d\u2019avancer en pilote automatique \u201c, a d\u00e9clar\u00e9 le Dr Joseph Angolano, fondateur et PDG de Pallas Data. \u201d Si des \u00e9lections avaient lieu aujourd\u2019hui, un sc\u00e9nario de majorit\u00e9 conservatrice avec les lib\u00e9raux dans l\u2019opposition serait le plus probable. \u201d Le Parti conservateur dispose d\u2019une avance significative dans toutes les r\u00e9gions de la province, notamment dans la r\u00e9gion du Grand Toronto, riche en si\u00e8ges. La situation est un peu plus serr\u00e9e \u00e0 Toronto, o\u00f9 les lib\u00e9raux accusent un retard de trois points sur le Parti conservateur, le NPD occupant la troisi\u00e8me place avec 24%. Le projet d\u2019autoroute express en tunnel sous la 401 : une \u201d peau de banane \u201c potentielle pour Ford ? Le sondage a demand\u00e9 aux personnes interrog\u00e9es si elles soutiendraient la construction d\u2019une autoroute express en tunnel sous la 401. Le premier ministre Ford a d\u00e9clar\u00e9 qu\u2019une \u00e9tude de faisabilit\u00e9 examinerait la possibilit\u00e9 de construire un tunnel sous l\u2019autoroute la plus fr\u00e9quent\u00e9e du Canada afin d\u2019ajouter des voies suppl\u00e9mentaires et de r\u00e9duire les embouteillages. Au total, 63% se sont dits oppos\u00e9s \u00e0 la construction du tunnel (52% se sont dits fermement oppos\u00e9s), tandis que 18% se sont d\u00e9clar\u00e9s favorables. L\u2019opposition provient principalement des partisans des partis d\u2019opposition. Toutefois, on observe \u00e9galement une opposition significative parmi les \u00e9lecteurs du Parti conservateur (au total, 40% d\u2019\u00e9lecteurs du Parti conservateur se sont dits oppos\u00e9s, tandis que 34% ont d\u00e9clar\u00e9 soutenir l\u2019id\u00e9e). Au total, 28% ont d\u00e9clar\u00e9 qu\u2019ils seraient plus enclins \u00e0 soutenir la construction d\u2019un tunnel sous la 401 s\u2019il comprenait une ligne de transport en commun, dont 36% de r\u00e9pondants \u00e0 Toronto et 32% de r\u00e9pondants r\u00e9sidant dans la r\u00e9gion du Grand Toronto. Plus inqui\u00e9tant encore pour le Parti conservateur, 39% de personnes interrog\u00e9es ont d\u00e9clar\u00e9 qu\u2019elles voteraient certainement contre un parti promettant de construire le tunnel sous la 401, dont 16% d\u2019\u00e9lecteurs du Parti conservateur. \u201d Cela devrait inciter le gouvernement Ford \u00e0 marquer une pause et \u00e0 r\u00e9fl\u00e9chir \u00e0 son message concernant le tunnel \u00e0 l\u2019intention des Ontariens \u201c, a d\u00e9clar\u00e9 M. Angolano. \u201d Il est tr\u00e8s peu probable que tous les \u00e9lecteurs du Parti conservateur qui ont d\u00e9clar\u00e9 ne pas vouloir voter pour un parti qui construirait un tunnel se rendent aux urnes pour voter en faveur d\u2019un autre parti lors des prochaines \u00e9lections. \u201c \u201d Mais ce projet suscite des inqui\u00e9tudes. Les navetteurs et les automobilistes de Toronto constatent tous les embouteillages caus\u00e9s par les travaux et craignent probablement de voir une situation similaire se produire sur la 401. \u201c Peu d\u2019inqui\u00e9tudes concernant des \u00e9lections anticip\u00e9es Le sondage a \u00e9galement interrog\u00e9 les participants sur leur opinion quant \u00e0 la possibilit\u00e9 d\u2019\u00e9lections anticip\u00e9es, car des rumeurs laissent entendre qu\u2019elles pourraient avoir lieu au printemps 2025. 29% a d\u00e9clar\u00e9 ne pas souhaiter d\u2019\u00e9lections anticip\u00e9es, tandis que 20% s\u2019est d\u00e9clar\u00e9 favorable \u00e0 celles-ci. 31% ont d\u00e9clar\u00e9 qu\u2019ils seraient favorables \u00e0 des \u00e9lections anticip\u00e9es s\u2019il y avait une bonne raison de les organiser, tandis que 19% ont indiqu\u00e9 que la date de leur tenue leur \u00e9tait indiff\u00e9rente. \u201d En g\u00e9n\u00e9ral, lorsque nous posons des questions sur des \u00e9lections anticip\u00e9es, les personnes interrog\u00e9es ont tendance \u00e0 s\u2019y opposer fermement \u201c, a d\u00e9clar\u00e9 M. Angolano. \u201d Le fait qu\u2019il n\u2019y ait pas beaucoup d\u2019opposition \u00e0 des \u00e9lections anticip\u00e9es signifie que le Premier ministre Ford peut les convoquer sans craindre de r\u00e9action n\u00e9gative de la part du public. \u00bb M\u00e9thodologie : L\u2019analyse pr\u00e9sent\u00e9e dans ce rapport s\u2019appuie sur les r\u00e9sultats d\u2019un sondage r\u00e9alis\u00e9 le 15 octobre 2024 aupr\u00e8s d\u2019un \u00e9chantillon de 996 adultes \u00e2g\u00e9s de 18 ans ou plus, r\u00e9sidant en Ontario et habilit\u00e9s \u00e0 voter aux \u00e9lections provinciales. Le sondage a \u00e9t\u00e9 r\u00e9alis\u00e9 au moyen d\u2019entretiens t\u00e9l\u00e9phoniques automatis\u00e9s utilisant la technologie d\u2019enregistrement vocal interactif (IVR). Les personnes interrog\u00e9es ont \u00e9t\u00e9 contact\u00e9es sur des lignes fixes et des t\u00e9l\u00e9phones portables. L\u2019\u00e9chantillon a \u00e9t\u00e9 pond\u00e9r\u00e9 en fonction de l\u2019\u00e2ge, du sexe et de la r\u00e9gion, conform\u00e9ment au recensement de 2021. Le sondage vise \u00e0 \u00eatre repr\u00e9sentatif de la population adulte de l\u2019Ontario. La marge d\u2019erreur du sondage est de \u00b1 3,11 TP3T, avec un niveau de confiance de 951 TP3T. Les marges d\u2019erreur sont plus \u00e9lev\u00e9es dans chaque sous-\u00e9chantillon. Les totaux peuvent ne pas totaliser 1001 TP3T en raison des arrondis.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":662,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"nf_dc_page":"","om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_kadence_starter_templates_imported_post":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1387","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-polls"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Pallas Ontario Poll: PC 41, OLP 28, NDP 22, Green 7 - Pallas Data<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/pallas-data.ca\/fr\/2024\/10\/23\/pallas-ontario-poll-pc-41-olp-28-ndp-22-green-7\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_CA\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Pallas Ontario Poll: PC 41, OLP 28, NDP 22, Green 7 - Pallas Data\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"(TORONTO, 23 October 2024) \u2013 The governing Progressive Conservatives have a twelve-point lead over the Ontario Liberals, a Pallas Data poll has found. In a poll that first appeared in the Trillium, Pallas surveyed 996 adults in Ontario, 18 years or older and eligible to vote through Interactive Voice Recording (IVR) technology on October 15th, 2024. The margin of error is +\/- 3.1% at the 95% confidence level. Among decided and leaning voters, the PCs led by Doug Ford has 41% (+2% since Pallas\u2019 last Ontario poll in June). The Ontario Liberals, led by Bonnie Crombie, have 28% (+1%), while the NDP, led by Marit Stiles, has 22% (-1%). The Ontario Greens, with Mike Schreiner at the helm, have 7% (-1%). &#8220;The Ford government is still in cruise control,&#8221; said Dr. Joseph Angolano, founder and CEO of Pallas Data. &#8221; If an election were held today, a PC majority with the Liberals in opposition would be the likeliest scenario.&#8221; The PCs have significant leads in every region of the province, most notably the seat-rich Greater Toronto Area. Toronto is a little more competitive, where the Liberals are three points behind the PCs, with the NDP in third place at 24%. The Proposed 401 Tunnelled Express Way: A Possible Banana Peel For Ford? The survey asked respondents whether they would support building a tunnelled expressway under the 401. Premier Ford has said that a feasibility study will examine the possibility of building a tunnel underneath Canada&#8217;s busiest highway to add more lanes and relieve congestion. A total of 63% said that they opposed the building of the tunnel (52% said that they were strongly opposed), while 18% said that they were in favour of it. Opposition is based chiefly among supporters of the opposition parties. Still, there is also significant opposition from PC voters (a total of 40% of PC voters said they were opposed, while 34% said they supported the idea). A total of 28% said they were more likely to support building a tunnel underneath the 401 if it included a transit line, including 36% of respondents in Toronto, and 32% of respondents living in the Greater Toronto Area. More worryingly for the PCs, 39% of respondents said they would certainly vote against a party that promises to build the 401 tunnel, with 16% of PC voters saying that they would do so. &#8220;This should give the Ford government some pause and think about their messaging on the tunnel to Ontarians,&#8221; said Angolano. &#8220;It is highly unlikely that every PC voter who said they would not vote for a party that would build a tunnel would go out and vote for another party in the next election.&#8221; &#8220;But there are concerns with the proposed project. Commuters and Toronto drivers see all the congestion due to construction and are likely worried they might see something similar happen with the 401.&#8221; Little Concern About an Early Election The survey also asked respondents about their thoughts on the possibility of an early election, as there is speculation that one could be held in the Spring of 2025. 29% said they don&#8217;t want an early election, while 20% said they favour one. 31% said that they would be in favour of an early election if there were a good reason to have one, while 19% said that they didn&#8217;t care when the election was called. &#8220;Usually, when we ask questions about an early election, respondents tend to disapprove of an early election strongly,&#8221; said Angolano. &#8220;The fact that there isn&#8217;t much opposition to an early election means that Premier Ford can call one without fear of public backlash.&#8221; Methodology:The analysis in this report is based on results of a survey conducted on October 15th, 2024 among a sample of 996 adults, 18 years of age or older, living in Ontario and eligible to vote in provincial elections. The survey was conducted using automated telephone interviews using Interactive Voice Recording technology (IVR). Respondents were interviewed on landlines and cellular phones. The sample was weighted by age, gender, and region according to the 2021 Census. The survey is intended to represent the adult population in Ontario. The margin of error for the poll is +\/- 3.1%, at the 95% confidence level. Margins of error are higher in each subsample. Totals may not add up 100% due to rounding.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/pallas-data.ca\/fr\/2024\/10\/23\/pallas-ontario-poll-pc-41-olp-28-ndp-22-green-7\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Pallas Data\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-10-23T18:51:07+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-10-23T18:53:16+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/pallas-data.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/Pallas-Ontario-Poll.png\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1586\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1075\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Pallas Data\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"\u00c9crit par\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Pallas Data\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Estimation du temps de lecture\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"4 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/pallas-data.ca\\\/2024\\\/10\\\/23\\\/pallas-ontario-poll-pc-41-olp-28-ndp-22-green-7\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/pallas-data.ca\\\/2024\\\/10\\\/23\\\/pallas-ontario-poll-pc-41-olp-28-ndp-22-green-7\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Pallas Data\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/pallas-data.ca\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/2ba337b9f439fbf5971c35efec1932c1\"},\"headline\":\"Pallas Ontario Poll: PC 41, OLP 28, NDP 22, Green 7\",\"datePublished\":\"2024-10-23T18:51:07+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2024-10-23T18:53:16+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/pallas-data.ca\\\/2024\\\/10\\\/23\\\/pallas-ontario-poll-pc-41-olp-28-ndp-22-green-7\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":692,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/pallas-data.ca\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/pallas-data.ca\\\/2024\\\/10\\\/23\\\/pallas-ontario-poll-pc-41-olp-28-ndp-22-green-7\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/i0.wp.com\\\/pallas-data.ca\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2023\\\/09\\\/Pallas-Ontario-Poll.png?fit=1586%2C1075&ssl=1\",\"articleSection\":[\"Polls\"],\"inLanguage\":\"fr-CA\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/pallas-data.ca\\\/2024\\\/10\\\/23\\\/pallas-ontario-poll-pc-41-olp-28-ndp-22-green-7\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/pallas-data.ca\\\/2024\\\/10\\\/23\\\/pallas-ontario-poll-pc-41-olp-28-ndp-22-green-7\\\/\",\"name\":\"Pallas Ontario Poll: PC 41, OLP 28, NDP 22, Green 7 - 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Pallas Data","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/pallas-data.ca\/fr\/2024\/10\/23\/pallas-ontario-poll-pc-41-olp-28-ndp-22-green-7\/","og_locale":"fr_CA","og_type":"article","og_title":"Pallas Ontario Poll: PC 41, OLP 28, NDP 22, Green 7 - Pallas Data","og_description":"(TORONTO, 23 October 2024) \u2013 The governing Progressive Conservatives have a twelve-point lead over the Ontario Liberals, a Pallas Data poll has found. In a poll that first appeared in the Trillium, Pallas surveyed 996 adults in Ontario, 18 years or older and eligible to vote through Interactive Voice Recording (IVR) technology on October 15th, 2024. The margin of error is +\/- 3.1% at the 95% confidence level. Among decided and leaning voters, the PCs led by Doug Ford has 41% (+2% since Pallas\u2019 last Ontario poll in June). The Ontario Liberals, led by Bonnie Crombie, have 28% (+1%), while the NDP, led by Marit Stiles, has 22% (-1%). The Ontario Greens, with Mike Schreiner at the helm, have 7% (-1%). &#8220;The Ford government is still in cruise control,&#8221; said Dr. Joseph Angolano, founder and CEO of Pallas Data. &#8221; If an election were held today, a PC majority with the Liberals in opposition would be the likeliest scenario.&#8221; The PCs have significant leads in every region of the province, most notably the seat-rich Greater Toronto Area. Toronto is a little more competitive, where the Liberals are three points behind the PCs, with the NDP in third place at 24%. The Proposed 401 Tunnelled Express Way: A Possible Banana Peel For Ford? The survey asked respondents whether they would support building a tunnelled expressway under the 401. Premier Ford has said that a feasibility study will examine the possibility of building a tunnel underneath Canada&#8217;s busiest highway to add more lanes and relieve congestion. A total of 63% said that they opposed the building of the tunnel (52% said that they were strongly opposed), while 18% said that they were in favour of it. Opposition is based chiefly among supporters of the opposition parties. Still, there is also significant opposition from PC voters (a total of 40% of PC voters said they were opposed, while 34% said they supported the idea). A total of 28% said they were more likely to support building a tunnel underneath the 401 if it included a transit line, including 36% of respondents in Toronto, and 32% of respondents living in the Greater Toronto Area. More worryingly for the PCs, 39% of respondents said they would certainly vote against a party that promises to build the 401 tunnel, with 16% of PC voters saying that they would do so. &#8220;This should give the Ford government some pause and think about their messaging on the tunnel to Ontarians,&#8221; said Angolano. &#8220;It is highly unlikely that every PC voter who said they would not vote for a party that would build a tunnel would go out and vote for another party in the next election.&#8221; &#8220;But there are concerns with the proposed project. Commuters and Toronto drivers see all the congestion due to construction and are likely worried they might see something similar happen with the 401.&#8221; Little Concern About an Early Election The survey also asked respondents about their thoughts on the possibility of an early election, as there is speculation that one could be held in the Spring of 2025. 29% said they don&#8217;t want an early election, while 20% said they favour one. 31% said that they would be in favour of an early election if there were a good reason to have one, while 19% said that they didn&#8217;t care when the election was called. &#8220;Usually, when we ask questions about an early election, respondents tend to disapprove of an early election strongly,&#8221; said Angolano. &#8220;The fact that there isn&#8217;t much opposition to an early election means that Premier Ford can call one without fear of public backlash.&#8221; Methodology:The analysis in this report is based on results of a survey conducted on October 15th, 2024 among a sample of 996 adults, 18 years of age or older, living in Ontario and eligible to vote in provincial elections. The survey was conducted using automated telephone interviews using Interactive Voice Recording technology (IVR). Respondents were interviewed on landlines and cellular phones. The sample was weighted by age, gender, and region according to the 2021 Census. The survey is intended to represent the adult population in Ontario. The margin of error for the poll is +\/- 3.1%, at the 95% confidence level. Margins of error are higher in each subsample. Totals may not add up 100% due to rounding.","og_url":"https:\/\/pallas-data.ca\/fr\/2024\/10\/23\/pallas-ontario-poll-pc-41-olp-28-ndp-22-green-7\/","og_site_name":"Pallas Data","article_published_time":"2024-10-23T18:51:07+00:00","article_modified_time":"2024-10-23T18:53:16+00:00","og_image":[{"width":1586,"height":1075,"url":"https:\/\/pallas-data.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/Pallas-Ontario-Poll.png","type":"image\/png"}],"author":"Pallas Data","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"\u00c9crit par":"Pallas Data","Estimation du temps de lecture":"4 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/pallas-data.ca\/2024\/10\/23\/pallas-ontario-poll-pc-41-olp-28-ndp-22-green-7\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/pallas-data.ca\/2024\/10\/23\/pallas-ontario-poll-pc-41-olp-28-ndp-22-green-7\/"},"author":{"name":"Pallas Data","@id":"https:\/\/pallas-data.ca\/#\/schema\/person\/2ba337b9f439fbf5971c35efec1932c1"},"headline":"Pallas Ontario Poll: PC 41, OLP 28, NDP 22, Green 7","datePublished":"2024-10-23T18:51:07+00:00","dateModified":"2024-10-23T18:53:16+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/pallas-data.ca\/2024\/10\/23\/pallas-ontario-poll-pc-41-olp-28-ndp-22-green-7\/"},"wordCount":692,"publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/pallas-data.ca\/#organization"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/pallas-data.ca\/2024\/10\/23\/pallas-ontario-poll-pc-41-olp-28-ndp-22-green-7\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/pallas-data.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/Pallas-Ontario-Poll.png?fit=1586%2C1075&ssl=1","articleSection":["Polls"],"inLanguage":"fr-CA"},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/pallas-data.ca\/2024\/10\/23\/pallas-ontario-poll-pc-41-olp-28-ndp-22-green-7\/","url":"https:\/\/pallas-data.ca\/2024\/10\/23\/pallas-ontario-poll-pc-41-olp-28-ndp-22-green-7\/","name":"Pallas Ontario Poll: PC 41, OLP 28, NDP 22, Green 7 - 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