{"id":1232,"date":"2024-05-16T13:00:00","date_gmt":"2024-05-16T13:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/pallas-data.ca\/?p=1232"},"modified":"2024-05-17T02:32:50","modified_gmt":"2024-05-17T02:32:50","slug":"pallas-british-columbia-poll-conservatives-38-ndp-37-bc-united-13-green-9","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/pallas-data.ca\/fr\/2024\/05\/16\/pallas-british-columbia-poll-conservatives-38-ndp-37-bc-united-13-green-9\/","title":{"rendered":"Sondage Pallas en Colombie-Britannique : Conservateurs 38, NPD 37, BC United 13, Verts 9"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">(TORONTO, 16 mai 2024) \u2013 Un nouveau sondage de Pallas Data r\u00e9v\u00e8le que le Parti conservateur de la Colombie-Britannique, qui ne compte que deux si\u00e8ges \u00e0 l'Assembl\u00e9e l\u00e9gislative de la Colombie-Britannique, poss\u00e8de une mince avance d'un point sur le NPD au pouvoir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le 14 mai 2024, Pallas a interrog\u00e9 848 adultes de Colombie-Britannique \u00e2g\u00e9s de 18 ans ou plus et ayant le droit de vote, \u00e0 l&#x27;aide d&#x27;un syst\u00e8me d&#x27;enregistrement vocal interactif (IVR). La marge d&#x27;erreur est de +\/- 3,4% avec un niveau de confiance de 95%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Parmi les \u00e9lecteurs d\u00e9cid\u00e9s et ind\u00e9cis, les conservateurs de la Colombie-Britannique, dirig\u00e9s par John Rustad, totalisent 381 TP3T (+361 TP3T depuis les \u00e9lections de 2020), tandis que le NPD au pouvoir, dirig\u00e9 par le premier ministre David Eby, en totalise 371 TP3T (-111 TP3T). BC United, dirig\u00e9 par Kevin Falcon, recueille 13% de soutien (-25%), tandis que le Parti vert, avec Sonia Furstenau \u00e0 sa t\u00eate, en recueille 9% (-6%).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201c Il y a eu un changement radical complet dans la politique de la Colombie-Britannique \u201d, a d\u00e9clar\u00e9 le Dr Joseph Angolano, fondateur et PDG de Pallas Data. \u201c Les \u00e9lecteurs de centre-droit ont quitt\u00e9 BC United pour se ruer vers les conservateurs de la Colombie-Britannique. \u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201c Ce changement s'est produit parce que les Lib\u00e9raux de la Colombie-Britannique ont chang\u00e9 leur nom pour BC United, a d\u00e9clar\u00e9 le Dr Angolano. L'image de marque compte en politique, et BC United l'apprend \u00e0 ses d\u00e9pens. \u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Il y a une fracture importante entre les sexes. Les conservateurs ont une avance de quatorze points chez les hommes, mais ont dix points de retard sur le NPD chez les femmes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Les r\u00e9partitions par \u00e2ge r\u00e9v\u00e8lent \u00e9galement des diff\u00e9rences int\u00e9ressantes. Le soutien aux conservateurs est le plus \u00e9lev\u00e9 chez les personnes interrog\u00e9es \u00e2g\u00e9es de 18 \u00e0 34 ans et diminue chez les plus \u00e2g\u00e9s, tandis que le NPD gagne du soutien aupr\u00e8s des r\u00e9pondants plus \u00e2g\u00e9s.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201c Malgr\u00e9 une toute petite avance des conservateurs, le NPD remporterait tout de m\u00eame une \u00e9lection si elle avait lieu aujourd'hui avec ces chiffres \u201d, a poursuivi M. Angolano.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Tester ses connaissances politiques : un vide id\u00e9ologique cr\u00e9\u00e9 par BC United<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le sondage posait \u00e9galement trois questions \u00e9valuant les connaissances sur les partis politiques de la Colombie-Britannique.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201c Nous voulions tester si les Britanno-Colombiens comprenaient ce qui se passait avec BC United et les conservateurs de la Colombie-Britannique \u201d, a d\u00e9clar\u00e9 Angolano. \u201c Nous avons donc estim\u00e9 que la meilleure fa\u00e7on de mesurer cela \u00e9tait de cr\u00e9er un indice des trois questions pour mesurer la culture politique. \u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le r\u00e9pondant recevait un point s'il r\u00e9pondait correctement \u00e0 la question. S'il r\u00e9pondait incorrectement, il perdait un point. Z\u00e9ro point \u00e9tait attribu\u00e9 s'il d\u00e9clarait ne pas conna\u00eetre la r\u00e9ponse. Si un r\u00e9pondant obtenait un score de 3, cela signifie qu'il a r\u00e9pondu correctement \u00e0 toutes les questions, tandis qu'un score de -3 indique qu'il a r\u00e9pondu incorrectement \u00e0 toutes les questions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">La plupart des \u00e9lecteurs (61%) affichent un bilan positif \u00e0 l&#x27;indice de connaissances, avec plus de bonnes r\u00e9ponses que de mauvaises. Vingt pour cent d&#x27;entre eux ont r\u00e9pondu correctement \u00e0 toutes les questions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201c De mani\u00e8re g\u00e9n\u00e9rale, les Britanno-Colombiens savent que les Lib\u00e9raux de la Colombie-Britannique n'existent plus et que BC United est l'Opposition officielle, et ils savent probablement quelles seront leurs options sur le bulletin de vote en octobre \u201d, a d\u00e9clar\u00e9 Angolano.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201c Nos recherches montrent qu'il n'y a pas beaucoup de confusion de marque quant au fait que BC United est la nouvelle mouture des Lib\u00e9raux de la Colombie-Britannique \u201d, a-t-il poursuivi. \u201c Au lieu de cela, le changement de nom a cr\u00e9\u00e9 un vide identitaire suite \u00e0 l'abandon de la marque \u201dpetit l\" par BC United. \u00bb<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Cela dit, le NPD a une avance parmi les r\u00e9pondants qui ont obtenu un score parfait de 3, ce qui indique que le NPD pourrait obtenir de meilleurs r\u00e9sultats pendant une p\u00e9riode \u00e9lectorale o\u00f9 plus d'information est partag\u00e9e sur ces partis politiques et o\u00f9 les connaissances augmentent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201c Le soutien \u00e0 BC United n'augmente pas \u00e0 mesure que les \u00e9lecteurs sont inform\u00e9s \u201d, a d\u00e9clar\u00e9 Angolano. \u201c Cela indique que l'espoir que les anciens \u00e9lecteurs du Parti lib\u00e9ral de la C.-B. se tourneraient vers BC United une fois qu'ils commenceraient \u00e0 y pr\u00eater attention au d\u00e9but des \u00e9lections est erron\u00e9. \u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cSi quoi que ce soit, le NPD b\u00e9n\u00e9ficiera de l'attention accrue et les \u00e9lecteurs seront mieux inform\u00e9s, et non les lib\u00e9raux.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Les trois questions \u00e9taient des questions vrai\/faux avec une option \u00ab je ne sais pas \u00bb :<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"\">Les Lib\u00e9raux de la Colombie-Britannique pr\u00e9senteront une liste compl\u00e8te de candidats aux prochaines \u00e9lections.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"\">BC United forme actuellement l'Opposition officielle \u00e0 l'Assembl\u00e9e l\u00e9gislative de la Colombie-Britannique.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"\">Le Parti conservateur de la Colombie-Britannique est un nouveau parti politique en Colombie-Britannique qui se pr\u00e9sentera \u00e0 ses premi\u00e8res \u00e9lections en octobre prochain.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>M\u00e9thodologie :<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">L'analyse de ce rapport est bas\u00e9e sur les r\u00e9sultats d'un sondage men\u00e9 le 14 mai 2024 aupr\u00e8s d'un \u00e9chantillon de 848 adultes, \u00e2g\u00e9s de 18 ans ou plus, r\u00e9sidant en Colombie-Britannique et habilit\u00e9s \u00e0 voter aux \u00e9lections provinciales. Le sondage a \u00e9t\u00e9 r\u00e9alis\u00e9 \u00e0 l'aide d'entretiens t\u00e9l\u00e9phoniques automatis\u00e9s utilisant la technologie de r\u00e9ponse vocale interactive (RVI). Les personnes interrog\u00e9es l'ont \u00e9t\u00e9 sur des lignes fixes et des t\u00e9l\u00e9phones cellulaires. L'\u00e9chantillon a \u00e9t\u00e9 pond\u00e9r\u00e9 selon l'\u00e2ge, le genre et la r\u00e9gion conform\u00e9ment au recensement de 2021. Le sondage vise \u00e0 \u00eatre repr\u00e9sentatif de la population adulte de la Colombie-Britannique.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">La marge d&#x27;erreur de ce sondage est de +\/- 3,41 TP3T, avec un niveau de confiance de 951 TP3T. Les marges d&#x27;erreur sont plus \u00e9lev\u00e9es dans chaque sous-\u00e9chantillon.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Il se peut que les totaux ne correspondent pas exactement \u00e0 100% en raison des arrondis.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"embed-pdf-viewer-wrapper aligncenter wp-block-embed-pdf-viewer-pdf\"><iframe class=\"embed-pdf-viewer lazyload\" data-src=\"https:\/\/pallas-data.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/BC-16May2024-compressed_1.pdf\" height=\"600\" width=\"600\" title=\"\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" data-load-mode=\"0\"><\/iframe><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(TORONTO, le 16 mai 2024) \u2013 Un nouveau sondage r\u00e9alis\u00e9 par Pallas Data r\u00e9v\u00e8le que le Parti conservateur de la Colombie-Britannique, qui ne d\u00e9tient que deux si\u00e8ges \u00e0 l\u2019Assembl\u00e9e l\u00e9gislative de la province, dispose d\u2019une l\u00e9g\u00e8re avance d\u2019un point sur le NPD au pouvoir. Le 14 mai 2024, Pallas a interrog\u00e9 848 adultes de Colombie-Britannique \u00e2g\u00e9s d\u2019au moins 18 ans et ayant le droit de vote, \u00e0 l\u2019aide de la technologie d\u2019enregistrement vocal interactif (IVR). La marge d\u2019erreur est de +\/- 3,4% avec un niveau de confiance de 95%. Parmi les \u00e9lecteurs d\u00e9cid\u00e9s ou ayant une pr\u00e9f\u00e9rence, les conservateurs de la Colombie-Britannique, dirig\u00e9s par John Rustad, recueillent 38% (+36% depuis les \u00e9lections de 2020), tandis que le NPD au pouvoir, dirig\u00e9 par le premier ministre David Eby, recueille 37% (-11%). BC United, dirig\u00e9 par Kevin Falcon, recueille 13% de soutien (-25%), tandis que le Parti vert, avec Sonia Furstenau \u00e0 sa t\u00eate, en recueille 9% (-6%). \u201c La politique en Colombie-Britannique a connu un bouleversement total \u201d, a d\u00e9clar\u00e9 le Dr Joseph Angolano, fondateur et PDG de Pallas Data. \u201c Les \u00e9lecteurs de centre-droit ont quitt\u00e9 BC United pour se ruer vers les Conservateurs de Colombie-Britannique. \u201d \u201c Ce revirement s\u2019explique par le fait que les Lib\u00e9raux de la Colombie-Britannique ont chang\u00e9 de nom pour devenir BC United \u201d, a expliqu\u00e9 le Dr Angolano. \u201c L\u2019image de marque compte en politique, et BC United en fait l\u2019am\u00e8re exp\u00e9rience. \u201d On observe un clivage significatif entre les sexes. Les conservateurs m\u00e8nent de quatorze points chez les hommes, mais accusent un retard de dix points face au NPD chez les femmes. La r\u00e9partition par tranche d\u2019\u00e2ge r\u00e9v\u00e8le \u00e9galement des diff\u00e9rences int\u00e9ressantes. Le soutien aux conservateurs est le plus \u00e9lev\u00e9 chez les personnes interrog\u00e9es \u00e2g\u00e9es de 18 \u00e0 34 ans et diminue chez les plus \u00e2g\u00e9es, tandis que le NPD gagne du terrain aupr\u00e8s de ces derni\u00e8res. \u201c M\u00eame si les conservateurs disposent d\u2019une avance infime, le NPD remporterait tout de m\u00eame les \u00e9lections si celles-ci avaient lieu aujourd\u2019hui avec ces chiffres \u201d, a poursuivi M. Angolano. \u00c9valuation des connaissances politiques : un vide en mati\u00e8re d\u2019image de marque cr\u00e9\u00e9 par BC United Le sondage posait \u00e9galement trois questions visant \u00e0 \u00e9valuer les connaissances sur les partis politiques de la Colombie-Britannique. \u201c Nous voulions v\u00e9rifier si les Britanno-Colombiens comprenaient ce qui se passait avec BC United et les Conservateurs de la Colombie-Britannique \u201d, a d\u00e9clar\u00e9 M. Angolano. \u201c Nous avons donc estim\u00e9 que la meilleure fa\u00e7on de mesurer cela \u00e9tait de cr\u00e9er un indice \u00e0 partir de ces trois questions pour \u00e9valuer les connaissances politiques. \u201d Les personnes interrog\u00e9es recevaient un point si elles r\u00e9pondaient correctement \u00e0 la question. Si elles r\u00e9pondaient incorrectement, elles perdaient un point. Aucun point n\u2019\u00e9tait attribu\u00e9 si elles d\u00e9claraient ne pas conna\u00eetre la r\u00e9ponse. Si un r\u00e9pondant obtenait un score de 3, cela signifiait qu\u2019il avait r\u00e9pondu correctement \u00e0 toutes les questions, tandis qu\u2019un score de -3 indiquait qu\u2019il avait mal r\u00e9pondu \u00e0 toutes les questions. La plupart des \u00e9lecteurs (61%) affichent un bilan positif sur l\u2019indice de connaissances, avec plus de bonnes r\u00e9ponses que de mauvaises. Vingt pour cent ont r\u00e9pondu correctement \u00e0 toutes les questions. \u201c De mani\u00e8re g\u00e9n\u00e9rale, les Britanno-Colombiens savent que les Lib\u00e9raux de la Colombie-Britannique n\u2019existent plus et que BC United est l\u2019opposition officielle, et ils savent probablement quelles seront leurs options sur le bulletin de vote en octobre \u201d, a d\u00e9clar\u00e9 M. Angolano. \u201c Notre \u00e9tude montre qu\u2019il n\u2019y a pas beaucoup de confusion quant au fait que BC United soit la nouvelle incarnation des lib\u00e9raux de Colombie-Britannique \u201d, a-t-il poursuivi. \u201c En revanche, le changement de nom a cr\u00e9\u00e9 un vide en mati\u00e8re d\u2019image de marque, BC United ayant abandonn\u00e9 la marque avec un &quot;l&quot; minuscule. \u201d Cela dit, le NPD est en t\u00eate parmi les personnes interrog\u00e9es ayant obtenu un score parfait de 3, ce qui indique que le NPD pourrait mieux s\u2019en sortir pendant une p\u00e9riode \u00e9lectorale o\u00f9 davantage d\u2019informations sont diffus\u00e9es sur ces partis politiques et o\u00f9 les connaissances s\u2019am\u00e9liorent. \u201c Le soutien \u00e0 BC United n\u2019augmente pas \u00e0 mesure que les \u00e9lecteurs sont mieux inform\u00e9s \u201d, a d\u00e9clar\u00e9 M. Angolano. \u201c Cela montre que l\u2019espoir de voir les anciens \u00e9lecteurs des Lib\u00e9raux de la Colombie-Britannique se tourner vers BC United d\u00e8s qu\u2019ils commenceraient \u00e0 s\u2019int\u00e9resser \u00e0 la campagne \u00e9lectorale est infond\u00e9. \u201d \u201c Au contraire, c\u2019est le NPD qui tirera profit de cette attention accrue et d\u2019une meilleure information des \u00e9lecteurs, et non les Lib\u00e9raux. \u201d Les trois questions \u00e9taient des questions de type vrai\/faux avec une option \u00ab ne sais pas \u00bb : M\u00e9thodologie : L\u2019analyse pr\u00e9sent\u00e9e dans ce rapport repose sur les r\u00e9sultats d\u2019un sondage r\u00e9alis\u00e9 le 14 mai 2024 aupr\u00e8s d\u2019un \u00e9chantillon de 848 adultes \u00e2g\u00e9s de 18 ans ou plus, r\u00e9sidant en Colombie-Britannique et habilit\u00e9s \u00e0 voter aux \u00e9lections provinciales. Le sondage a \u00e9t\u00e9 r\u00e9alis\u00e9 \u00e0 l\u2019aide d\u2019entretiens t\u00e9l\u00e9phoniques automatis\u00e9s utilisant la technologie d\u2019enregistrement vocal interactif (IVR). Les personnes interrog\u00e9es ont \u00e9t\u00e9 contact\u00e9es sur des lignes fixes et des t\u00e9l\u00e9phones portables. L\u2019\u00e9chantillon a \u00e9t\u00e9 pond\u00e9r\u00e9 en fonction de l\u2019\u00e2ge, du sexe et de la r\u00e9gion, conform\u00e9ment au recensement de 2021. Le sondage vise \u00e0 \u00eatre repr\u00e9sentatif de la population adulte de la Colombie-Britannique. La marge d\u2019erreur du sondage est de +\/- 3,4% avec un niveau de confiance de 95%. Les marges d\u2019erreur sont plus \u00e9lev\u00e9es dans chaque sous-\u00e9chantillon. Les totaux peuvent ne pas atteindre 100% en raison des arrondis.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1233,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"nf_dc_page":"","om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_kadence_starter_templates_imported_post":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[6,32],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1232","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-polls","category-sondages"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Pallas British Columbia Poll: Conservatives 38, NDP 37, BC United 13, Green 9 - Pallas Data<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/pallas-data.ca\/fr\/2024\/05\/16\/pallas-british-columbia-poll-conservatives-38-ndp-37-bc-united-13-green-9\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_CA\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Pallas British Columbia Poll: Conservatives 38, NDP 37, BC United 13, Green 9 - Pallas Data\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"(TORONTO, 16 May 2024) \u2013 A new Pallas Data poll has found that the Conservative Party of British Columbia, who only have two seats in the British Columbia legislature, has a slender one-point lead over the governing NDP. Pallas surveyed 848 adults in British Columbia who were 18 years or older and eligible to vote through Interactive Voice Recording (IVR) technology on May 14, 2024. The margin of error is +\/- 3.4% at the 95% confidence level. Among decided and leaning voters, the BC Conservatives, led by John Rustad, have 38% (+36% since the 2020 election), while the governing NDP, led by Premier David Eby, has 37% (-11%). BC United, led by Kevin Falcon, has 13% support (-25%), while the Green Party, with Sonia Furstenau at the helm, has 9% (-6%). \u201cThere has been a complete sea change in British Columbia politics,\u201d said Dr. Joseph Angolano, founder and CEO of Pallas Data. \u201cRight-of-centre voters have left BC United and flooded to the BC Conservatives.\u201d \u201cThis shift has happened because the BC Liberals changed its name to BC United,\u201d said Dr. Angolano. \u201cBranding matters in politics, and BC United is learning that lesson the hard way.\u201d There is a significant gender split. The Conservatives lead by fourteen points among men but are ten points behind the NDP among women. The age breakouts also show interesting differences. Support for the Conservatives is highest among respondents between 18 and 34 and drops among older respondents, while the NDP gains support among older respondents. \u201cDespite the Conservatives having the tiniest of leads, the NDP would still win an election if it were held today with these numbers,\u201d continued Angolano. Testing Political Knowledge: A Branding Vacuum Created by BC United The poll also asked three questions measuring knowledge about BC\u2019s political parties. \u201cWe wanted to test if British Columbians understand what was going on with BC United and the BC Conservatives,\u201d said Angolano. \u201cSo we felt the best way of measuring that was to create an index of the three questions to measure political knowledge.\u201d The respondent was given one point if they answered the question correctly. If they answered the question incorrectly, they lost a point. Zero points were awarded if they said they didn\u2019t know the answer. If a respondent got a score of 3, it means they got all the questions correct, while a score of -3 indicates that they answered all the questions incorrectly. Most voters (61%) are net positives on the knowledge index, getting more questions right than wrong. Twenty percent got all the questions correct. \u201cGenerally, British Columbians know that the BC Liberals are no more and that BC United is the Official Opposition, and likely know what their options will be on the ballot come October,\u201d said Angolano. \u201cOur research shows that there is not much brand confusion regarding BC United being the new iteration of the BC Liberals,\u201d he continued. \u201cInstead, the name change has created a branding vacuum by BC United abandoning the small-l brand.\u201d That said, the NDP has a lead among respondents who got a perfect score of 3, indicating that the NDP might do better during an election period where more information is shared about these political parties and knowledge increases. &#8220;BC United\u2019s support does not increase the more knowledgeable voters are,\u201d Angolano said. \u201cThis indicates that the hope that former BC Liberal voters would migrate to BC United once they started paying attention when the election starts is incorrect.\u201d \u201cIf anything, the NDP will benefit from the added attention, and voters become better informed, not the Liberals.\u201d The three questions were true\/false questions with a not sure option: Methodology: The analysis in this report is based on the results of a survey conducted on May 14th, 2024, among a sample of 848 adults, 18 years of age or older, living in British Columbia and are eligible to vote in provincial elections. The survey was conducted using automated telephone interviews using Interactive Voice Recording technology (IVR). Respondents were interviewed on landlines and cellular phones. The sample was weighted by age, gender, and region according to the 2021 Census. The survey is intended to represent the adult population in British Columbia. The margin of error for the poll is +\/- 3.4% at the 95% confidence level. Margins of error are higher in each subsample. Totals may not add up to 100% due to rounding.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/pallas-data.ca\/fr\/2024\/05\/16\/pallas-british-columbia-poll-conservatives-38-ndp-37-bc-united-13-green-9\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Pallas Data\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-05-16T13:00:00+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-05-17T02:32:50+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/pallas-data.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/Pallas-Logo-Template-BC.png\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1586\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1075\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Pallas Data\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"\u00c9crit par\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Pallas Data\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Estimation du temps de lecture\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"4 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/pallas-data.ca\\\/2024\\\/05\\\/16\\\/pallas-british-columbia-poll-conservatives-38-ndp-37-bc-united-13-green-9\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/pallas-data.ca\\\/2024\\\/05\\\/16\\\/pallas-british-columbia-poll-conservatives-38-ndp-37-bc-united-13-green-9\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Pallas Data\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/pallas-data.ca\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/2ba337b9f439fbf5971c35efec1932c1\"},\"headline\":\"Pallas British Columbia Poll: Conservatives 38, NDP 37, BC United 13, Green 9\",\"datePublished\":\"2024-05-16T13:00:00+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2024-05-17T02:32:50+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/pallas-data.ca\\\/2024\\\/05\\\/16\\\/pallas-british-columbia-poll-conservatives-38-ndp-37-bc-united-13-green-9\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":762,\"commentCount\":1,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/pallas-data.ca\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/pallas-data.ca\\\/2024\\\/05\\\/16\\\/pallas-british-columbia-poll-conservatives-38-ndp-37-bc-united-13-green-9\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/i0.wp.com\\\/pallas-data.ca\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2024\\\/05\\\/Pallas-Logo-Template-BC.png?fit=1586%2C1075&ssl=1\",\"articleSection\":[\"Polls\",\"Sondages\"],\"inLanguage\":\"fr-CA\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/pallas-data.ca\\\/2024\\\/05\\\/16\\\/pallas-british-columbia-poll-conservatives-38-ndp-37-bc-united-13-green-9\\\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/pallas-data.ca\\\/2024\\\/05\\\/16\\\/pallas-british-columbia-poll-conservatives-38-ndp-37-bc-united-13-green-9\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/pallas-data.ca\\\/2024\\\/05\\\/16\\\/pallas-british-columbia-poll-conservatives-38-ndp-37-bc-united-13-green-9\\\/\",\"name\":\"Pallas British Columbia Poll: Conservatives 38, NDP 37, BC United 13, Green 9 - 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Pallas Data","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/pallas-data.ca\/fr\/2024\/05\/16\/pallas-british-columbia-poll-conservatives-38-ndp-37-bc-united-13-green-9\/","og_locale":"fr_CA","og_type":"article","og_title":"Pallas British Columbia Poll: Conservatives 38, NDP 37, BC United 13, Green 9 - Pallas Data","og_description":"(TORONTO, 16 May 2024) \u2013 A new Pallas Data poll has found that the Conservative Party of British Columbia, who only have two seats in the British Columbia legislature, has a slender one-point lead over the governing NDP. Pallas surveyed 848 adults in British Columbia who were 18 years or older and eligible to vote through Interactive Voice Recording (IVR) technology on May 14, 2024. The margin of error is +\/- 3.4% at the 95% confidence level. Among decided and leaning voters, the BC Conservatives, led by John Rustad, have 38% (+36% since the 2020 election), while the governing NDP, led by Premier David Eby, has 37% (-11%). BC United, led by Kevin Falcon, has 13% support (-25%), while the Green Party, with Sonia Furstenau at the helm, has 9% (-6%). \u201cThere has been a complete sea change in British Columbia politics,\u201d said Dr. Joseph Angolano, founder and CEO of Pallas Data. \u201cRight-of-centre voters have left BC United and flooded to the BC Conservatives.\u201d \u201cThis shift has happened because the BC Liberals changed its name to BC United,\u201d said Dr. Angolano. \u201cBranding matters in politics, and BC United is learning that lesson the hard way.\u201d There is a significant gender split. The Conservatives lead by fourteen points among men but are ten points behind the NDP among women. The age breakouts also show interesting differences. Support for the Conservatives is highest among respondents between 18 and 34 and drops among older respondents, while the NDP gains support among older respondents. \u201cDespite the Conservatives having the tiniest of leads, the NDP would still win an election if it were held today with these numbers,\u201d continued Angolano. Testing Political Knowledge: A Branding Vacuum Created by BC United The poll also asked three questions measuring knowledge about BC\u2019s political parties. \u201cWe wanted to test if British Columbians understand what was going on with BC United and the BC Conservatives,\u201d said Angolano. \u201cSo we felt the best way of measuring that was to create an index of the three questions to measure political knowledge.\u201d The respondent was given one point if they answered the question correctly. If they answered the question incorrectly, they lost a point. Zero points were awarded if they said they didn\u2019t know the answer. If a respondent got a score of 3, it means they got all the questions correct, while a score of -3 indicates that they answered all the questions incorrectly. Most voters (61%) are net positives on the knowledge index, getting more questions right than wrong. Twenty percent got all the questions correct. \u201cGenerally, British Columbians know that the BC Liberals are no more and that BC United is the Official Opposition, and likely know what their options will be on the ballot come October,\u201d said Angolano. \u201cOur research shows that there is not much brand confusion regarding BC United being the new iteration of the BC Liberals,\u201d he continued. \u201cInstead, the name change has created a branding vacuum by BC United abandoning the small-l brand.\u201d That said, the NDP has a lead among respondents who got a perfect score of 3, indicating that the NDP might do better during an election period where more information is shared about these political parties and knowledge increases. &#8220;BC United\u2019s support does not increase the more knowledgeable voters are,\u201d Angolano said. \u201cThis indicates that the hope that former BC Liberal voters would migrate to BC United once they started paying attention when the election starts is incorrect.\u201d \u201cIf anything, the NDP will benefit from the added attention, and voters become better informed, not the Liberals.\u201d The three questions were true\/false questions with a not sure option: Methodology: The analysis in this report is based on the results of a survey conducted on May 14th, 2024, among a sample of 848 adults, 18 years of age or older, living in British Columbia and are eligible to vote in provincial elections. The survey was conducted using automated telephone interviews using Interactive Voice Recording technology (IVR). Respondents were interviewed on landlines and cellular phones. The sample was weighted by age, gender, and region according to the 2021 Census. The survey is intended to represent the adult population in British Columbia. The margin of error for the poll is +\/- 3.4% at the 95% confidence level. Margins of error are higher in each subsample. Totals may not add up to 100% due to rounding.","og_url":"https:\/\/pallas-data.ca\/fr\/2024\/05\/16\/pallas-british-columbia-poll-conservatives-38-ndp-37-bc-united-13-green-9\/","og_site_name":"Pallas Data","article_published_time":"2024-05-16T13:00:00+00:00","article_modified_time":"2024-05-17T02:32:50+00:00","og_image":[{"width":1586,"height":1075,"url":"https:\/\/pallas-data.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/Pallas-Logo-Template-BC.png","type":"image\/png"}],"author":"Pallas Data","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"\u00c9crit par":"Pallas Data","Estimation du temps de lecture":"4 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/pallas-data.ca\/2024\/05\/16\/pallas-british-columbia-poll-conservatives-38-ndp-37-bc-united-13-green-9\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/pallas-data.ca\/2024\/05\/16\/pallas-british-columbia-poll-conservatives-38-ndp-37-bc-united-13-green-9\/"},"author":{"name":"Pallas 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