Pallas Data: the most accurate polling firm in the 2026 British Columbia election
(TORONTO, November 13, 2026) – Pallas Data is again the most accurate polling firm in the British Columbia election. Our final poll, fielded on October 22, showed the BC Conservatives at 45%, the BC NDP at 39% and the BC Greens at 12%. Elections BC’s final vote count shows the BC Conservatives winning 47.7% of the vote, the BC NDP at 37.6%, and the Green Party of BC at 11.2%. Pallas Data was also the most accurate polling firm in the 2024 British Columbia election. Pallas was within three points of each party’s final share, within the poll’s margin of error. A clear read on a shifting race We tracked the swing in British Columbia. In February, Pallas had the NDP ahead by five points. By October, the Conservatives led, and our final survey, conducted two days before the vote, showed their lead growing from five points to six. Lorne Doerkson’s Conservatives went on to win a 64-seat majority. Here is how our BC polling moved among decided and leaning voters: Conservatives NDP Greens February 12–14 37% 42% 13% October 10–11 43% 38% 11% October 22 (final poll) 45% 39% 12% This result follows the 2024 British Columbia election, when Pallas had the lowest total error of ten polling firms. 338Canada, which rates Canadian pollsters on their performance in recent elections, gives Pallas Data an overall rating of A+, the only firm to get that rating for this election. Pallas has earned an A+ in three of the four elections it has rated, including British Columbia in 2024. Why the NDP lost ground Our final poll also explained the result. In Metro Vancouver, the Conservatives pulled ahead 46% to 41%. NDP leader David Eby’s own base was softening, with 65% of NDP voters naming him best premier, down from 78%, and 18% preferring Green leader Emily Lowan. “The NDP picked up ground on the Island but lost it in Metro Vancouver,” said Dr. Angolano. What this means for your organization Elections are the ultimate test of public opinion research. Pallas applies the same acumen to the questions that organizations face every day, from understanding voters and customers to keeping members engaged. Our omnibus surveys in Ontario and Quebec give you a direct channel to ask the questions that matter. Ready to back your next decision with reliable data? Learn more about Pallas Data’s omnibus surveys. Pallas Data was founded in Toronto, ON, in 2023. We frequently poll federally, provincially and municipally, and our polls have been featured in CBC, Radio-Canada, La Presse, Le Devoir, L’actualité, The Trillium, Politico, iPolitics, the National Post, and CTV News. Methodology: The final Pallas British Columbia poll was conducted on October 22, 2026 among 702 adults, 18 years of age or older, living in British Columbia and eligible to vote in provincial elections. The survey used automated telephone interviews (IVR) on landlines and cellular phones and was weighted by age, gender and region according to the 2021 Census. The margin of error is +/- 3.7%, at the 95% confidence level. Election results are from the Elections BC final count. Totals may not add up to 100% due to rounding.