Pallas Mississauga Poll: Parrish 34, Crombie 25, Tedjo 21, Damerla 14
(TORONTO, October 3, 2026) – Carolyn Parrish has a nine-point lead according to a new poll from Pallas Data, with 28% of voters still undecided three weeks before the October 26th election. Among decided and leaning voters, Parrish has 34% (+2), followed by former mayor Bonnie Crombie at 25% (-2), Alvin Tedjo at 21% (+2), Dipika Damerla at 14% (+2) and another candidate at 7% (-3). The survey was conducted on September 30th and October 1st among a sample of 503 eligible Mississauga voters. The margin of error is +/- 4.4% at the 95% confidence level. “Parrish is ahead because the main opposition vote is divided between Bonnie Crombie and Alvin Tedjo,” said Dr. Joseph Angolano, founder and CEO of Pallas Data. “She might be in trouble if that vote coalesces around one candidate, but Crombie and Tedjo are performing well enough in their own right and maintain their share of the vote.” Where the votes are coming from Parrish leads with men, 39% to Crombie’s 28%. Women split four ways, with Parrish at 28%, Tedjo at 23%, Crombie at 22% and Damerla at 20%. Damerla draws nearly three times as much support from women as from men (7%). Parrish leads in every age group but one. Among voters 65 and older, Crombie is ahead 33% to 32%, within the margin of error. Her weakest group is voters 35 to 49, at 17%. Tedjo also does better with older voters, at 24% among those 50 to 64 and 25% among those 65 and older, against 18% and 19% under 50. Damerla runs the other way: 16% with 18-to-34-year-olds, 18% with 35-to-49-year-olds and 9% with seniors. Her opponents are spread across three candidates in those groups, each between 16% and 22%. Voters 50 to 64 are closer, with Parrish at 32%, Crombie at 26% and Tedjo at 24%. “Crombie and Tedjo are both stronger with older voters, while younger voters haven’t settled on an alternative to Parrish,” Angolano said. “That is the gap either of them has to close.” What comes next The number of undecided voters remains high at 28%, down from 33% in the previous Pallas Mississauga poll. One note of caution. This poll was completed Thursday night, as the mayoral debate was ending, which made headlines for how heated it was. Therefore, the results predate any reaction to it. “It was a raucous debate, and we don’t know yet how voters took it,” Angolano said. “What this poll shows is where the race stood going in, with more than a quarter of voters undecided.” Methodology The analysis in this report is based on results of a survey conducted September 30-October 1, 2026, among a sample of 503 adults 18 years of age or older, living in Mississauga and eligible to vote in municipal elections. The survey was conducted using automated telephone interviews (IVR) on landlines and cellular phones. The sample was weighted by age, gender, and region according to the 2021 Census. The margin of error for the poll is +/- 4.4%, at the 95% confidence level. Margins of error are higher in each subsample. Totals may not add up to 100% due to rounding.